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SMU Mustangs vs. Miami Hurricanes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: SMU Mustangs vs Miami Hurricanes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Game Overview

No. 10 Miami Hurricanes (6-1) face the SMU Mustangs (5-3) in an ACC matchup at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Miami is favored by 10.5 points with a total set at 50.5. The Hurricanes are coming off a loss to Louisville but have won 16 of their last 20 games. SMU is 5-3 and has struggled as a double-digit underdog in November, but their offense can make plays and their defense is stout against the run.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miami is averaging 154.4 rushing yards per game, led by Mark Fletcher Jr. (552 yards, 9 TDs). Carson Beck is completing 73.3% of passes for 1,673 yards, 12 TDs, 7 INTs. SMU has a balanced offense and a defense that bends but doesn’t break. Miami allows just 14.1 points and 270.4 yards per game.
  • Miami has won 13 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams. SMU has lost 20 of its last 22 November games as an underdog.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is played at SMU’s home stadium. Weather is expected to be clear. Miami is 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite and has outright lost twice in this role since last November.
  • Miami is seeking to rebound from a loss and maintain ACC title hopes. SMU is motivated to upset a ranked opponent and boost bowl prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 320, away: -410 Miami Hurricanes ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: 10.5 -105, away: -10.5 -115 SMU Mustangs +10.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 50.5 -112, under: 50.5 -108 Under 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Hurricanes -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami is the more talented team and should win, but SMU’s home-field advantage and Miami’s recent struggles as a double-digit favorite suggest the Hurricanes may not cover. The total is set high, but Miami’s defense is elite and SMU’s offense is inconsistent.

Predicted Score: Miami 27, SMU 20


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Air Force Falcons vs. Army Black Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, Colorado

Game Overview

Two elite rushing offenses meet with Air Force (2-5) ranked 2nd and Army (3-4) ranked 3rd nationally in rushing yards per game. The game features a tight point spread (1.5) and a moderately high total near 48.5 points. Both teams rely heavily on run-based offenses but have struggled defensively, leading to higher scoring games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Air Force recently won a close game against Wyoming (24-21), showing improved form despite a losing record. Army is seeking to rebound from a 24-17 loss to Tulane. Both teams have potent rushing attacks but rank low in pass defense and overall points allowed, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.
  • Recent H2H matchups have been competitive with narrow margins. Both teams are familiar with each other's style as fellow service academies with similarly run-focused offenses and high-tempo games. Slight edge historically to Army in recent results.
  • Neither team reports significant injuries affecting starters entering this game, suggesting both will be at near full strength.
  • The game is at Air Force's home stadium, providing a modest home advantage at altitude in Colorado Springs. Weather is typically mild in early November, unlikely to affect play markedly.
  • Army can eliminate Air Force from Commander-in-Chief's Trophy contention, providing high motivation. Air Force aims to protect home turf and remain in the hunt. Motivation level balanced but with a slight edge to Army due to stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Air Force -110 / Army -110 Army Black Knights ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Air Force -1.5 -102 / Army +1.5 -118 Army Black Knights +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 48.5 -118 / Under 48.5 -102 Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Army Black Knights 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline pick Army Black Knights to win, Spread pick Army +1.5, Over 48.5 points total

Predicted Score: Army 34 – Air Force 27


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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL

Game Overview

Illinois (5-3, recent skid) hosts Rutgers (4-4, snapping losing streak), with both teams sporting explosive offenses and vulnerable defenses. This game has high shootout potential due to both sides' struggles to stop the pass and tendency to allow big scoring plays in Big Ten play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois has lost two straight and three of their last five, while Rutgers ended a four-game skid with a win over Purdue. Both offenses average over 30 PPG, but defenses are among the nation's worst: Rutgers ranks 111th in scoring defense (30.6 PPG), Illinois 90th (27.5 PPG)—worse in Big Ten play (37.4 for Rutgers, 39.6 for Illinois)[1].
  • No recent head-to-head data provided.
  • Both teams have multiple players with undisclosed or lingering injuries, including several wide receivers and defensive backs. Rutgers in particular appears banged up at the receiver position, which could impact their explosive passing attack[5].
  • Weather should not be a major factor; expect neither rain nor wind to disrupt passing offenses.
  • Both teams are on the bubble for bowl eligibility and need momentum heading into the late season. Illinois, playing at home, likely has more to lose and is favored significantly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois -463 | Rutgers +370 Illinois wins 84% confidence ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Illinois -13.5 -108 | Rutgers +13.5 -112 Illinois covers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 62.5 -108 | Under 62.5 -112 Over 62.5 ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini 267%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 62.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini at 267% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite recent stumbles, Illinois is the stronger team at home and should prevail in a high-scoring game, but Rutgers' passing attack keeps it within two scores early before Illinois pulls away late. This matchup has high shootout potential due to porous defenses and quality quarterback play on both sides.

Predicted Score: Illinois 42, Rutgers 27


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Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: McLane Stadium

Game Overview

The Baylor Bears host the UCF Knights in a critical conference matchup as both teams strive to reach bowl eligibility. Baylor is a slight favorite at home with a moderately favored spread and a high total, indicating expectations for an offensively dynamic game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baylor stands at 4-4 while UCF is slightly better at 4-3. Both teams have comparable recent form but Baylor’s home advantage and stronger conference play slightly tip the balance. Offensively, Baylor seeks to protect home turf, while UCF looks to prove their offense can maintain consistency.
  • Recent direct matchups are limited in significance but show evenly matched competition, with no decisive dominance. Both teams have similar scoring patterns, and past confrontations suggest a tight game.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team that would drastically affect starting lineups or game plans.
  • Game played at McLane Stadium offers Baylor a familiar environment and fan support. Weather and altitude are standard and unlikely to affect play.
  • Both teams need this win to enhance their bowl eligibility chances, with strong motivation on both sides to perform; Baylor aims to defend home ground, UCF to assert resilience on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -154 Baylor Bears ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -102 Baylor Bears -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -110 Over 59.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baylor Bears -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 59.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears moneyline

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 31 – UCF Knights 24


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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ohio Stadium

Game Overview

The undefeated Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) host the Penn State Nittany Lions (3-4) with Ohio State heavily favored due to dominant recent form and a strong defensive unit. Penn State is struggling with a backup quarterback and a four-game losing streak, making it a challenging matchup for them at Ohio State Stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ohio State is unbeaten with a dominant record both straight up and against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season, averaging 37.4 points of victory in such games. Penn State is on a four-game losing streak and has offensive struggles under an inexperienced QB. Defensively, Ohio State ranks among the best nationally, while Penn State allows about 19 points per game but lacks offensive firepower.
  • Ohio State has won their last eight meetings with Penn State, though recent margins have been closer, averaging a 6.75 point victory. Penn State has been unable to cover as an underdog in its past 11 games, showing a trend of underperforming expectations against stronger opponents.
  • Penn State is dealing with injuries and a backup quarterback situation, reducing the effectiveness of their passing game. Ohio State is relatively healthy and experienced at key positions, giving them a strong edge.
  • Ohio State benefits from playing at home, where it has won 57 of its last 58 games against non-AP-ranked teams. There are no significant adverse weather or travel factors affecting either team.
  • Ohio State remains highly motivated to maintain its perfect record and playoff positioning. Penn State faces an uphill battle trying to snap a losing streak and prove competitiveness, but motivation alone is unlikely to offset the talent and situational disparities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ohio State -1200 / Penn State +750 Ohio State ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Ohio State -19.5 -110 / Penn State +19.5 -110 Ohio State -19.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 44.5 -118 / Under 44.5 -102 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ohio State Buckeyes -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State to win straight up (moneyline), cover the -19.5 spread, and the game to have under 44.5 total points scored.

Predicted Score: Ohio State 31 – Penn State 10


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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 31, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, Louisiana

Game Overview

CUSA conference matchup between Louisiana Tech (4-3, middling) and winless Sam Houston (0-7). Bulldogs are heavy favorites at home; Bearkats are struggling on both sides of the ball and are outmatched in all key metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LA Tech ranks below average offensively (pass: 108th, rush: 82nd, points: 102nd) but has a strong rushing defense (22nd, yielding just 107.4 YPG, points allowed: 23rd). Sam Houston averages 12.3 points per game and is winless, indicating severe issues on both offense and defense.
  • No direct head-to-head data provided, but current form significantly favors Louisiana Tech, which is competitive in a weak CUSA while Sam Houston is clearly the conference’s worst team.
  • No injury data available.
  • No significant weather or travel concerns reported; Bulldogs playing at home, which typically provides a moderate edge.
  • Louisiana Tech is chasing bowl eligibility and aiming for a .500 or better record. Sam Houston is searching for their first win in a dismal season, but lacks the firepower to threaten here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LA Tech -800, Sam Houston 550 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs ★★★★★ 94%
Spread LA Tech -16.5 -112, Sam Houston 16.5 -108 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -16.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 49.5 -105, Under 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Louisiana Tech wins big at home, covering the spread, and the total goes under given team defensive tendencies and Sam Houston’s inability to score.

Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech 31, Sam Houston State 10


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Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 31, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY

Game Overview

Two struggling ACC teams meet as Syracuse (3-5, 1-4 ACC) hosts North Carolina (2-5, 0-3 ACC) on Halloween night in dramatic fashion, hoping for a rare conference win. Both teams are near the bottom of the ACC standings, but Syracuse is a slight home favorite with most oddsmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have disappointing seasons, but Syracuse is marginally stronger—coming off a blowout loss to Georgia Tech (41-16), but having one more win and a better ACC record than UNC, who lost narrowly to Virginia (17-16) in OT last week. Neither squad has shown consistent offensive potency this year[1][2][3].
  • Recent head-to-head data is currently unavailable. This lack of direct historical trend increases the importance of form and situational factors.
  • No major injuries reported in available sources; roster stability for both sides.
  • The game is nationally televised on Halloween, potentially injecting energy into the JMA Wireless Dome—Syracuse’s first Halloween home game since 1992—which could amplify home-field advantage[3].
  • Both teams are desperate for ACC relevance. UNC, under new head coach Bill Belichick, came up just short last week and may be due for a breakout, while Syracuse seeks to reverse a skid and reward home fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Syracuse -125 / North Carolina +105 Syracuse ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Syracuse -2.5 -105 / North Carolina +2.5 -115 Syracuse -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 45.5 -105 / Under 45.5 -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Syracuse Orange -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Syracuse’s slight edge in record, home-field advantage, and favorable odds make them the more appealing pick in all markets, but both teams’ inconsistency and low-scoring trends suggest caution on the over/under.

Predicted Score: Syracuse 24, North Carolina 20


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Rice Owls vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Rice Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rice Stadium, Houston, TX

Game Overview

Memphis Tigers (7-1) visit Rice Owls (4-4) with Memphis as a clear favorite at -14 spread. Memphis possesses a top-20 rushing attack and a strong defense, while Rice has a balanced but less consistent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Memphis is 7-1 straight up and against the spread, showing consistency especially as a favorite. Rice is 4-4, recently 3-2 SU and ATS, performing better on the road against the spread but overall less dominant against high-level opponents.
  • No direct recent H2H data available, but Memphis's superior season record and stats imply dominance over Rice.
  • No notable major injuries reported impacting Memphis or Rice starters; both teams appear relatively healthy.
  • Game played at Rice Stadium with mild weather (69°F, 3 mph wind) and no rain expected, neutral environment favors Memphis's powerful run game.
  • Memphis, ranked 25th nationally, motivated to maintain top position and strong bowl prospects; Rice looking to improve bowl eligibility with a key home game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Memphis -650, Rice +470 Memphis ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Memphis -14 -108, Rice +14 -112 Memphis -14 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 49.5 -112, Under 49.5 -108 Over 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Memphis Tigers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Memphis Tigers moneyline, Memphis -14 spread, and over 49.5 points total for highest expected value plays.

Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 38 – Rice Owls 20


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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 30, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Brooks Stadium (SC), Conway, South Carolina

Game Overview

Marshall Thundering Herd visits Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a Sun Belt matchup, with both teams holding a 4-3 record. The Thundering Herd are favored due to their strong rushing offense and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marshall has shown a strong rush game, averaging 196.3 yards per game, while Coastal Carolina has had mixed results lately, being 3-2 in their last five games.
  • No recent specific head-to-head data is available, but Marshall's rushing prowess could be a key factor.
  • No significant injury reports are available.
  • Weather conditions are favorable with no rain expected.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Marshall aiming to improve their standing in the Sun Belt and Coastal Carolina seeking to upset a conference opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -196 (Marshall), 164 (Coastal Carolina) Marshall Thundering Herd ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -5.5 -105 (Marshall), 5.5 -115 (Coastal Carolina) Marshall Thundering Herd ★★★☆☆ 69%
Over/under o53.5 -114, u53.5 -106 Over ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marshall Thundering Herd -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marshall to win outright, covering the spread, and the game to go over the total.

Predicted Score: Marshall Thundering Herd 31, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 24


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UTSA Roadrunners vs. Tulane Green Wave Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-30
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alamodome, San Antonio

Game Overview

Tulane Green Wave (6-1) visit UTSA Roadrunners (3-4) in an American Athletic Conference matchup with Tulane as the clear favorite based on recent performance and conference standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tulane enters with a strong 6-1 record and undefeated 3-0 AAC conference play, showing solid defense and effective passing rush. UTSA has struggled with a 3-4 overall, 1-2 conference record, with recent form poor at 1-4 in last five games.
  • No detailed recent H2H stats available, but Tulane has a defensive advantage and better team metrics, with a top 10 pass rush causing problems for UTSA's offense historically.
  • No significant injury reports were found affecting key starters on either team as of current information.
  • Game is at UTSA's Alamodome, which usually favors home teams, but fan support is uncertain given UTSA's recent form. Weather likely controlled indoors, neutralizing environmental impact.
  • Tulane is motivated to maintain top conference standing and extend winning streak; UTSA needs a rebound win to stabilize season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tulane -174, UTSA +146 Tulane Green Wave ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Tulane -3.5 -114, UTSA +3.5 -106 Tulane Green Wave -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 55.5 -110, Under 55.5 -110 Over 55.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tulane Green Wave 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tulane Green Wave to win on moneyline and cover the -3.5 spread with total points going over 55.5

Predicted Score: Tulane 31 – UTSA 20


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