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Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Liberty Flames Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA

Game Overview

The matchup features the Old Dominion Monarchs (2-1) hosting the Liberty Flames (1-3). Old Dominion enters as a strong favorite at home with superior recent form and odds heavily favoring them across moneyline and spread markets. The total points line is set at 51.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Old Dominion holds a better record (2-1) and is playing at home with positive momentum. Liberty struggles with a 1-3 record and poor recent ATS (against the spread) performance in September.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Old Dominion's home advantage and stronger record suggest they have the upper hand.
  • No significant injury reports disclosed for either team, preserving expected starting lineups.
  • Weather forecast at kickoff is warm (75°F), moderate rain (46%), and light wind (7 mph) — conditions slightly favoring a balanced but cautious game plan.
  • Old Dominion motivated to maintain their winning record and capitalize on home advantage; Liberty aims to rebound from a poor start but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs: -675, Liberty Flames: +490 Old Dominion Monarchs ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5: -108, Liberty Flames +16.5: -112 Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 51.5: -112, Under 51.5: -108 Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Old Dominion Monarchs to cover the -16.5 spread with a moderately high chance of victory, and total points predicted to stay under 51.5 due to Liberty's struggling offense and weather conditions.

Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 31, Liberty Flames 14


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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (3-1) with a potent No. 4 scoring offense face the unbeaten Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0) who boast the No. 16 scoring defense in a key SEC matchup at Starkville.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee scored 56 points in their last win but are on their first true road test; Mississippi State is 4-0 both straight and against the spread, coming off a 38-10 win with a strong defensive showing.
  • Tennessee leads the all-time series and won the last meeting convincingly 33-4 at home; however, this game is at Mississippi State’s home field, which significantly shifts dynamics.
  • No major reported injuries to either starting offense or defense units influencing key roles.
  • Line movement shows heavy sharp money on Mississippi State, dropping Tennessee’s spread from -9.5 to -7.5; home crowd and hostile atmosphere expected to benefit Bulldogs. Weather forecast is ideal with no rain and mild temperature.
  • Mississippi State aims to prove their 4-0 record is legitimate in conference play while Tennessee looks to rebound from a recent tough overtime loss to Georgia on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mississippi State +245, Tennessee -310 Tennessee Moneyline ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Mississippi State +7.5 (-105), Tennessee -7.5 (-115) Mississippi State +7.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 63.5 (-115), Under 63.5 (-105) Over 63.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tennessee Volunteers 135%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 63.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tennessee Volunteers at 135% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 54.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Mississippi State covering the +7.5 spread for highest expected value given sharp money backing, home advantage, and Tennessee’s road questions despite being favorite.

Predicted Score: Tennessee 35 – Mississippi State 28


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Air Force Falcons vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Air Force Falcons vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Falcon Stadium

Game Overview

The Air Force Falcons (1-2) host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-2) in a Mountain West matchup. Air Force, favored by -258 moneyline and -6.5 points spread, relies on a strong ground game and home-field advantage. Hawaii enters with better recent form and a positive record but is the underdog on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hawaii has a 3-2 record showing solid offensive progress recently, while Air Force holds a 1-2 record but performs strongly at home, leveraging their unique triple-option rushing attack. Air Force's defense allows moderate scoring but tends to limit explosive plays. Hawaii has been more consistent offensively but struggles against disciplined run defenses.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor Air Force slightly due to their run-heavy offense controlling tempo. Historically close games, with Air Force often covering the spread and winning by slim margins.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters on offense or defense.
  • Falcon Stadium's altitude and home crowd benefit Air Force, likely to impact Hawaii's stamina. Travel fatigue may also affect Hawaii negatively.
  • Air Force is motivated to defend home field and improve their losing record. Hawaii looks to continue positive momentum but faces a tough, unfamiliar environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -258, away: +210 Air Force Falcons ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Air Force: -6.5 -115, Hawaii: +6.5 -105 Air Force Falcons -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 53.5 -108, under: 53.5 -112 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Air Force Falcons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Air Force Falcons to cover the -6.5 spread, win straight up, and the total to go under 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Air Force Falcons 24 – Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 16


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Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Tulane Green Wave Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Oklahoma

Game Overview

Tulane Green Wave (3-1) visits Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) with Tulane favored by 15.5 points. Both teams have shown inconsistent recent performances with Tulsa splitting last few games and Tulane coming off a heavy loss. The matchup features a large spread with moderate total points line around 51.5-52.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tulane holds a better overall record (3-1) than Tulsa (2-2), but recently suffered a 45-10 loss against a strong Ole Miss team. Tulsa won their latest game against Oklahoma State 19-12, showing defensive resilience. Tulsa has gone 2-2 ATS in recent games and struggles to score, while Tulane is more consistent offensively but vulnerable defensively.
  • Tulane has dominated recent matchups, going 5-2 SU and 16-2 SU in the last 18 games against Tulsa. Tulane also holds a 5-14 ATS deficit but clearly superior in outright wins historically.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that drastically impact key positions, so both sides expected to field near full-strength squads.
  • Game is played at Tulsa, which typically grants the home team some advantage; however, Tulsa’s inconsistency at home and Tulane’s superior form in recent meetings reduce this edge.
  • Tulane aims to bounce back from a tough loss and solidify their season, while Tulsa wants to leverage home field to even their record. Both teams motivated, but Tulane’s better season trajectory adds confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tulane: -700, Tulsa: +500 Tulane Green Wave ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Tulane: -15.5 -108, Tulsa: +15.5 -112 Tulsa Golden Hurricane +15.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 51.5 -115, Under: 51.5 -105 Under 51.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tulsa Golden Hurricane -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Betting on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane +15.5 spread provides the highest expected value given Tulane’s large spread favor and Tulsa's ability to keep games close recently. Moneyline on Tulane is too expensive and over/under leans to under due to Tulsa's strong defense and recent low scoring games.

Predicted Score: Tulane 28, Tulsa 16


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New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: University Stadium

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the New Mexico State Aggies in a heated regional rivalry. Both teams are 2-1, but New Mexico are strong favorites with a -600 moneyline, favored by 14 points on the spread, and a moderately high total points line at 53.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico Lobos have allowed fewer points per game and have shown stronger defense and offense efficiency recent weeks compared to New Mexico State. The Lobos have a more consistent margin of victory and better margin of defeat metrics.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor New Mexico Lobos who have won the majority of these contests convincingly, often covering big spreads against the Aggies.
  • No major injuries reported for key starters on either side, indicating both teams are close to full strength.
  • Game played at Home for New Mexico, providing a significant home-field advantage. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • New Mexico seeks to affirm control of the in-state rivalry and boost Mountain West positioning. New Mexico State aims to upset a heavy favorite but motivation is tempered by underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -600, New Mexico State Aggies +440 New Mexico Lobos ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread New Mexico Lobos -14 -112, New Mexico State Aggies +14 -108 New Mexico Lobos -14 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110, Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos to win straight up and cover the 14 point spread. The game is likely to stay under the total of 53.5 due to strong defensive play.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 27, New Mexico State Aggies 13


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Washington Huskies vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Washington Huskies vs Ohio State Buckeyes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium

Game Overview

Top-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes visit undefeated Washington Huskies in a high-profile non-conference showdown. Both teams are 3-0 entering the game, with Ohio State heavily favored as a strong offensive team and Washington showing solid defense at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ohio State has a dominant offense averaging nearly 40 points per game with a stout defense, while Washington matches with a balanced attack and disciplined defense, each at 3-0 for the season.
  • Recent historical matchups favor Ohio State, who has generally had upper hand in past meetings, though Washington plays well at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would affect starters or key positions.
  • Game played at Washington’s home stadium, which provides a partisan crowd advantage for the Huskies.
  • Both teams maintain high motivation to stay undefeated, with Ohio State aiming to demonstrate national dominance and Washington seeking a marquee win on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ohio State -325, Washington +260 Ohio State ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Ohio State -8.5 -110, Washington +8.5 -110 Ohio State -8.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 52.5 -105, Under 52.5 -115 Under 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ohio State Buckeyes -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game total to go under 52.5

Predicted Score: Ohio State 33 – Washington 21


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Northwestern Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois

Game Overview

Northwestern Wildcats (1-2) host UCLA Bruins (0-3) in a Big Ten vs Pac-12 conference matchup. Northwestern is a 6.5-point favorite with a total set at 44.5 points. Both teams are struggling early in the season, but Northwestern has slight momentum with a win, while UCLA remains winless.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Northwestern is 1-2 overall but 2-1 against the spread recently. UCLA is 0-3 with losses by wide margins, indicating offensive struggles. Northwestern lost recently 34-14 to Oregon, UCLA lost 35-10 to New Mexico, highlighting offensive challenges for both teams.
  • Limited recent direct matchups, with no strong dominance. Current form suggests Northwestern has a slight edge at home, backed by betting and ATS performance.
  • No major reported injuries impacting key starters on either side as of current information, suggesting both teams will mostly field their normal lineups.
  • Favorable weather (78°F, no rain, light wind) expected at Ryan Field, minimizing external impact. Home crowd support likely benefits Northwestern.
  • Northwestern has motivation to maintain home winning chances and improve their season record. UCLA seeks first win, but early struggles and road environment may limit confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Northwestern Wildcats: -230, UCLA Bruins: +188 Northwestern Wildcats ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Northwestern Wildcats: -6.5 -110, UCLA Bruins: +6.5 -110 Northwestern Wildcats -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -110, Under: 44.5 -110 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Northwestern Wildcats 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Northwestern to win straight up and cover the 6.5 spread; expect a low scoring game under 44.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Northwestern Wildcats 24 – UCLA Bruins 17


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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Utah Utes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Utah Utes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV

Game Overview

Utah Utes (3-1) visit West Virginia Mountaineers (2-2) with Utah heavily favored to win given their better recent form, stronger performances, and superior statistical output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Utah is 3-1 this season showing strong offense and defense, while West Virginia is an inconsistent 2-2 with struggles especially at home with totals trending unders.
  • Recent direct matchups favor Utah, with Utah generally covering sizable spreads and controlling the pace.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starters on either side, so both teams expected at near full strength.
  • Weather is mild at 75°F with low rain chance and light wind, unlikely to affect gameplay significantly.
  • Utah is motivated to maintain an undefeated record against a home team with recent struggles, while West Virginia aims to prove resilience on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Utah -470 / West Virginia +360 Utah ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Utah -12.5 -112 / West Virginia +12.5 -108 Utah -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 47.5 -110 / Under 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Utah Utes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take Utah on the moneyline and spread, and bet the under on the total points.

Predicted Score: Utah 31 – West Virginia 16


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Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets host the Akron Zips in an early-season Mid-American Conference matchup. Toledo is a dominant home favorite favored by 21 points with heavy odds support, reflecting its superior recent form and historical edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo Rockets have a strong recent home record (19-4 SU, 4-1 ATS last 5 home games) and are favored heavily (-1650) despite both teams starting 0-0 this season. Akron is priced as a heavy underdog (+950 moneyline) and faces a tough environment.
  • Historically, Toledo holds a clear advantage over Akron in this fixture, typically controlling these matchups comfortably, contributing to confidence in Toledo’s strong performance.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters for either team have emerged close to kickoff, indicating full-strength lineups.
  • Game played at the Glass Bowl in Toledo offers a strong home field advantage. Weather forecasts indicate mild conditions, unlikely to affect game flow.
  • With both teams 0-0 early in the season, Toledo, as a local powerhouse and favored team, has high motivation to maintain dominance; Akron faces an uphill battle to gain confidence and establish a season foothold.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo: -1650, Akron: +950 Toledo Rockets ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Toledo -21: -108, Akron +21: -112 Toledo -21 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over 48.5: -110, under 48.5: -110 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toledo Rockets to win straight up; Toledo to cover the 21-point spread; total points to go under 48.5

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 31, Akron Zips 10


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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Lindenwood Lions Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Lindenwood Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH

Game Overview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (0-3) host the Lindenwood Lions (2-2) in a mismatch where Miami is heavily favored with a -1400 moneyline and a -20.5 point spread. Miami has struggled this season but faces a lower-tier FCS opponent, Lindenwood, who has shown moderate competitiveness with a 2-2 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miami (OH) is 0-3 overall with poor recent form, but all losses came against presumably stronger competition. Lindenwood sits at 2-2 and has demonstrated ability to both cover large spreads and produce competitive scoring outputs lately, including a recent close win. Miami is yet to prove itself against a team like Lindenwood on the moneyline while Lindenwood has been successful ATS as heavy underdogs.
  • No direct recent head-to-head records available, likely first meeting as Lindenwood recently moved up to Division I FCS. Miami (OH) is expected to be dominant based on historical program strength but risk exists due to Miami's current form.
  • No significant injury reports published for either team that would materially impact key starters or quarterback play.
  • Game played in good weather conditions (77°F, no rain, moderate wind). Miami (OH) playing at home with 100% public betting support, indicating confidence.
  • Miami (OH) aims to avoid an 0-4 start and maintain program pride hosting a lower-division team. Lindenwood seeks to prove it can compete with higher-division teams and gain postseason consideration, likely increasing their motivation as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami (OH) -1400, Lindenwood +800 Miami (OH) moneyline ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Miami (OH) -20.5 -110, Lindenwood +20.5 -110 Lindenwood +20.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5 -110, Under 49.5 -110 Under 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami (OH) RedHawks 683%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks at 683% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 85.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Miami (OH) moneyline for a confident win but expect Lindenwood to cover some of the large spread due to Miami's poor form. Total points expected just under the line given Miami's offensive struggles and Lindenwood's moderate scoring.

Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 31 – Lindenwood 14


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