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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jack Trice Stadium

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) host Arizona Wildcats (3-0) in a key Big 12 matchup with Iowa State favored. Both teams are unbeaten, but Iowa State shows stronger overall form and a slight edge in offensive efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State enters 4-0 with balanced offense and defense, ranked No. 14 nationally. Arizona is 3-0 but less tested in-conference. Iowa State's recent performances show stronger scoring and defensive consistency.
  • Limited recent H2H data available due to conference realignment; Iowa State favored in preseason projections with a predicted close score around 24-23.
  • No major injuries reported for either squad impacting starting lineups significantly as of current information.
  • Game played at Iowa State's home stadium, Jack Trice Stadium, favoring the Cyclones. Weather and other external factors currently neutral.
  • Iowa State aims to maintain undefeated record and top conference position; Arizona seeks to prove competitiveness in tougher conference play. Home advantage boosts Iowa State motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Wildcats: +188, Iowa State Cyclones: -230 Iowa State Cyclones β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Arizona Wildcats +6.5: -115, Iowa State Cyclones -6.5: -105 Iowa State Cyclones -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State Cyclones to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -6.5 spread, and the total points to go under 48.5 given recent defensive trends and scoring pace.

Predicted Score: Iowa State 24 – Arizona 20


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Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida

Game Overview

The Memphis Tigers (4-0) travel to face the Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) in an AAC matchup. Memphis enters as a heavy favorite with strong recent form and solid defensive metrics, while FAU struggles both on defense and overall record. The total points line is set quite high at 63.5, reflecting Memphis’ strong offensive output and high-scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Memphis is unbeaten at 4-0 with a balanced offense averaging over 236 rushing yards and scoring roughly 32 points per game. Defensively, Memphis allows only 16 points and 308 yards per game, showing strong resistance. Florida Atlantic is 1-2, scoring 30 points per game but allowing over 30 points as well, with inconsistency evident especially on defense.
  • Last meeting in 2020 saw Memphis prevail 25-10. Memphis has generally dominated in recent matchups, indicating a clear upper hand historically.
  • No significant injury reports are mentioned, implying both teams likely have their key players available.
  • Game at Florida Atlantic’s home stadium could provide some edge, but minimal given Memphis’s superior talent and momentum. No adverse weather or other external disruptions noted.
  • Memphis aims to maintain an undefeated start and assert conference dominance, while Florida Atlantic is motivated to avoid a 1-3 start and salvage their season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Florida Atlantic +375, Memphis -500 Memphis β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Florida Atlantic +13.5 -110, Memphis -13.5 -110 Memphis -13.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 63.5 -110, Under 63.5 -110 Under 63.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Memphis Tigers -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 63.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Memphis Tigers to win straight up, cover the -13.5 spread, and the game to go under 63.5 points.

Predicted Score: Memphis 31 – Florida Atlantic 17


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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in a closely matched conference game with both teams holding 2-2 records. Southern Miss is favored by 4 points with a total set at 54.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are 2-2, but Southern Miss lost their last outing 30-20 to Louisiana Tech, while Jacksonville State won convincingly 45-10 against Murray State, indicating Jacksonville State's recent offensive form is stronger.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but simulations and models give Southern Miss a slight edge with approximately 58% win probability versus Jacksonville State's 42%.
  • No prominent injury reports affect key players on either team according to available information.
  • Southern Miss benefits from home-field advantage at M.M. Roberts Stadium with favorable weather conditions (~80Β°F, no rain, light wind).
  • Jacksonville State, coming off a strong offensive performance, is motivated to upset the home favorites and cover the 4-point spread. Southern Miss has motivation to rebound from their last loss and defend home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -185, away: +154 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 Jacksonville State +4 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 54.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State +4 on spread; Moneyline pick Southern Miss; Bet Over 54.5 total points

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 31 – Jacksonville State 28


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NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Tech Hokies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina

Game Overview

NC State Wolfpack (3-1) host Virginia Tech Hokies (1-3) in an ACC matchup. NC State is favored by 10 points with a total of 57.5 points projected.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NC State is coming off a high-scoring loss (33-45) to Duke but holds a stronger overall record (3-1) compared to Virginia Tech's 1-3 record, which includes a recent 38-6 win over Wofford. NC State has been strong offensively and defensively but shows vulnerability giving up 45 points recently. Virginia Tech’s big recent win may boost confidence but against weaker opposition.
  • Historical matchups favor NC State slightly with home advantage. Recent betting lines and trends lean heavily towards NC State based on consistency and home field.
  • No significant injury reports affecting either side have been noted for this matchup, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
  • The game is played in Raleigh with favorable weather conditions (73Β°F, mild wind, moderate humidity, 43% rain chance). Public betting heavily favors NC State moneyline and spread.
  • NC State aims to rebound from a loss and maintain ACC dominance at home, while Virginia Tech looks for momentum and redemption after slow start to the season. NC State has stronger motivation to defend home turf against a struggling opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NC State Wolfpack: -375, Virginia Tech Hokies: +295 NC State Wolfpack β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread NC State Wolfpack -10: -110, Virginia Tech Hokies +10: -110 NC State Wolfpack -10 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 57.5: -112, Under 57.5: -108 Over 57.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NC State Wolfpack -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 57.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NC State to win outright (moneyline), cover the -10 spread, and the total points will go over 57.5

Predicted Score: NC State Wolfpack 34 – Virginia Tech Hokies 21


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Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears (2-2) host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) in a key September college football matchup. Western Kentucky enters with a stronger record and better ATS stats this month, but Missouri State's home advantage and recent performances provide a competitive scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Kentucky has a 3-1 record showing strong offensive firepower, while Missouri State has been inconsistent at 2-2. WKU is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 September games, evidencing strong form against the spread.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but previous encounters show Western Kentucky generally outperforming Missouri State, often covering spreads and winning by multiple scores.
  • No major injury reports currently affecting key starters for either team, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Game played at Missouri State’s home stadium, offering Bears a home-field advantage. Weather and conditions expected to be neutral. No significant travel or scheduling issues.
  • Both teams seeking momentum in early season; WKU aiming to maintain superior record and top conference positioning, Missouri State motivated to prove competitiveness at home after mixed results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Missouri State Bears: +160, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -192 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Missouri State Bears: +4.5 -112, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -4.5 -108 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 61.5 -115, Under: 61.5 -105 Over 61.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 61.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go over 61.5.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 38 – Missouri State Bears 27


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Rhode Island Rams Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Rhode Island Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI

Game Overview

Western Michigan Broncos (1-3) host the unbeaten Rhode Island Rams (4-0) in a Mid-America showdown. WMU is a solid favorite despite a struggling offense this season, while Rhode Island boasts a strong 4-0 start with a top-10 FCS program and an explosive passing attack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Michigan has covered the spread 3-1 with a struggling offense, particularly in the passing game with only one passing TD in 2025. Rhode Island is undefeated with a potent passing offense led by QB Devin Farrell and receiver Marquis Buchanan, averaging 18.5 yards per reception.
  • No recent or significant direct H2H data available suggesting either team has a definitive matchup advantage; Rhode Island hasn't been tested as an underdog previously this season.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact offensive or defensive capability.
  • Game played indoors at Waldo Stadium with mild weather (74Β°F), no rain, and minimal wind – conditions favor quality quarterback play and offense.
  • Western Michigan may face a letdown after a recent signature victory against a conference favorite. Rhode Island is motivated to prove dominance against a Group of 5 opponent to bolster their strong start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 235 Away (Rhode Island Rams) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: -7.5 -115, away: +7.5 -105 Away +7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 47.5 -110, under: 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Michigan Broncos 94%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Western Michigan Broncos at 94% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take Rhode Island Rams moneyline for a high expected value contrarian play; despite odds favoring Western Michigan, Rhode Island’s unbeaten momentum and offensive strength against a struggling WMU offense suggest an upset.

Predicted Score: Rhode Island Rams 24 – Western Michigan Broncos 20


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Kennesaw State Owls vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, Georgia

Game Overview

Kennesaw State Owls (2-2) host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) in a key Conference USA matchup. Kennesaw State is favored both on the moneyline and the spread, with recent form showing the Owls winning their last game while Middle Tennessee suffered a loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kennesaw State is coming off a solid 28-21 win over Arkansas State, showing resilience and improving offense. Middle Tennessee lost 42-28 to Marshall and has struggled, holding a 1-3 record compared to Kennesaw State's 2-2, indicating better recent form for the Owls.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited but Kennesaw State's home advantage and current momentum give them an edge over Middle Tennessee who are struggling on the road.
  • No major injuries reported on either side affecting starters significantly, suggesting both teams will field their best available lineups.
  • The game is played at Kennesaw State’s home stadium, which historically provides a strong home-field advantage. Weather and other external factors are not expected to significantly impact the game.
  • Kennesaw State aims to solidify their position early in conference play with a winning record, providing strong motivation. Middle Tennessee looks to avoid deep conference losses, but recent results may impact morale negatively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -298, away: +240 Kennesaw State Owls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 Kennesaw State -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under over: -108, under: -112 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kennesaw State Owls 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kennesaw State to win straight up and cover the spread with the total going under 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 28 – Middle Tennessee 17


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Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Liberty Flames Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA

Game Overview

The matchup features the Old Dominion Monarchs (2-1) hosting the Liberty Flames (1-3). Old Dominion enters as a strong favorite at home with superior recent form and odds heavily favoring them across moneyline and spread markets. The total points line is set at 51.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Old Dominion holds a better record (2-1) and is playing at home with positive momentum. Liberty struggles with a 1-3 record and poor recent ATS (against the spread) performance in September.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Old Dominion's home advantage and stronger record suggest they have the upper hand.
  • No significant injury reports disclosed for either team, preserving expected starting lineups.
  • Weather forecast at kickoff is warm (75Β°F), moderate rain (46%), and light wind (7 mph) β€” conditions slightly favoring a balanced but cautious game plan.
  • Old Dominion motivated to maintain their winning record and capitalize on home advantage; Liberty aims to rebound from a poor start but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs: -675, Liberty Flames: +490 Old Dominion Monarchs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5: -108, Liberty Flames +16.5: -112 Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 51.5: -112, Under 51.5: -108 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Old Dominion Monarchs to cover the -16.5 spread with a moderately high chance of victory, and total points predicted to stay under 51.5 due to Liberty's struggling offense and weather conditions.

Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 31, Liberty Flames 14


0 7

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (3-1) with a potent No. 4 scoring offense face the unbeaten Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0) who boast the No. 16 scoring defense in a key SEC matchup at Starkville.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee scored 56 points in their last win but are on their first true road test; Mississippi State is 4-0 both straight and against the spread, coming off a 38-10 win with a strong defensive showing.
  • Tennessee leads the all-time series and won the last meeting convincingly 33-4 at home; however, this game is at Mississippi State’s home field, which significantly shifts dynamics.
  • No major reported injuries to either starting offense or defense units influencing key roles.
  • Line movement shows heavy sharp money on Mississippi State, dropping Tennessee’s spread from -9.5 to -7.5; home crowd and hostile atmosphere expected to benefit Bulldogs. Weather forecast is ideal with no rain and mild temperature.
  • Mississippi State aims to prove their 4-0 record is legitimate in conference play while Tennessee looks to rebound from a recent tough overtime loss to Georgia on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mississippi State +245, Tennessee -310 Tennessee Moneyline β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Mississippi State +7.5 (-105), Tennessee -7.5 (-115) Mississippi State +7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 63.5 (-115), Under 63.5 (-105) Over 63.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tennessee Volunteers 135%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 63.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Tennessee Volunteers at 135% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 54.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Mississippi State covering the +7.5 spread for highest expected value given sharp money backing, home advantage, and Tennessee’s road questions despite being favorite.

Predicted Score: Tennessee 35 – Mississippi State 28


0 3

Air Force Falcons vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Air Force Falcons vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Falcon Stadium

Game Overview

The Air Force Falcons (1-2) host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-2) in a Mountain West matchup. Air Force, favored by -258 moneyline and -6.5 points spread, relies on a strong ground game and home-field advantage. Hawaii enters with better recent form and a positive record but is the underdog on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hawaii has a 3-2 record showing solid offensive progress recently, while Air Force holds a 1-2 record but performs strongly at home, leveraging their unique triple-option rushing attack. Air Force's defense allows moderate scoring but tends to limit explosive plays. Hawaii has been more consistent offensively but struggles against disciplined run defenses.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor Air Force slightly due to their run-heavy offense controlling tempo. Historically close games, with Air Force often covering the spread and winning by slim margins.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters on offense or defense.
  • Falcon Stadium's altitude and home crowd benefit Air Force, likely to impact Hawaii's stamina. Travel fatigue may also affect Hawaii negatively.
  • Air Force is motivated to defend home field and improve their losing record. Hawaii looks to continue positive momentum but faces a tough, unfamiliar environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -258, away: +210 Air Force Falcons β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Air Force: -6.5 -115, Hawaii: +6.5 -105 Air Force Falcons -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: 53.5 -108, under: 53.5 -112 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Air Force Falcons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Air Force Falcons to cover the -6.5 spread, win straight up, and the total to go under 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Air Force Falcons 24 – Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 16


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