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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Colorado Buffaloes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Colorado Buffaloes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Milan Puskar Stadium

Game Overview

West Virginia hosts Colorado in a Week 11 Big 12 matchup. Both teams enter with identical 3-6 records and 1-5 conference marks, making this a pivotal game for late-season momentum. The game is televised on TNT and features Deion Sanders’ Colorado squad facing a Mountaineers team looking to rebound at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have struggled offensively and defensively, ranking near the bottom of the Big 12 in scoring and points allowed. West Virginia has shown slightly better home form, while Colorado has been inconsistent on the road. Recent performances suggest neither team can sustain long drives or stop the run effectively.
  • Recent history between these programs is limited, but Colorado has had a slight edge in the last few meetings, often winning in close, high-scoring affairs. However, home field has played a major role in past matchups.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their starting lineups, though depth remains a concern for both.
  • The game is being played at Milan Puskar Stadium, where West Virginia typically enjoys a strong home crowd advantage. Weather is expected to be mild with no precipitation, favoring an open, pass-heavy game. The noon ET kickoff may impact Colorado’s travel and preparation.
  • Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and pride in a down year. West Virginia is coming off a strong performance last week, while Colorado is reeling from a tough loss. The Mountaineers appear more motivated to protect home turf and avoid a losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -220, away: 188 West Virginia Mountaineers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread home: -6.5 -106, away: 6.5 -114 West Virginia Mountaineers -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under over: 53.5 -110, under: 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Virginia Mountaineers -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Virginia covers the spread and wins outright, but the game remains close with both teams struggling to find offensive rhythm. The total falls just short of the line due to defensive adjustments and turnover-prone offenses.

Predicted Score: West Virginia 28, Colorado 24


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs BYU Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1, 5-1 Big 12) host the undefeated BYU Cougars (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) in a high-stakes Big 12 conference matchup with College Football Playoff implications. Texas Tech is heavily favored but BYU is a strong team with a methodical offense and top defenses on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech shows an explosive but less efficient offense paired with a top-3 defense in sacks and forced turnovers. BYU is balanced offensively with strong rushing and a ball-control style, ranking in the top 25 nationally in scoring and defense.
  • Both teams are in excellent recent form; BYU won recent road games as underdogs against Utah and Iowa State. Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite this season, while BYU has a strong 7-1 ATS record as underdog since last season.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting quarterbacks or key defensive players have been noted, implying both squads should field near full strength.
  • ESPN College Gameday presence indicates maximum national spotlight and motivation for both teams. BYU had an extra week rest due to a bye week; Texas Tech is highly motivated to maintain home dominance.
  • BYU is aiming to prove its elite status nationally as a top-10 team despite being double-digit road underdogs, while Texas Tech wants to secure their conference position and leverage home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech: -375, BYU: +300 Texas Tech Red Raiders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Texas Tech -10.5 (-105), BYU +10.5 (-115) Texas Tech Red Raiders -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 52.5 (-105), Under 52.5 (-115) Under 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Texas Tech Red Raiders win outright; Spread: Texas Tech covers -10.5; Over/Under: Under 52.5

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 31 – BYU Cougars 17


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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Game Overview

No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) face the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-4) in a pivotal SEC matchup. Georgia is heavily favored on the road, with the spread set at -9.5 and the over/under at 56.5. Georgia enters off a narrow win over Florida, while Mississippi State narrowly defeated Arkansas in their last outing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia has dominated most of its schedule, with only one loss, and boasts a strong defense and balanced offense. Mississippi State has shown improvement but remains inconsistent, especially against elite SEC competition. Their run defense is a particular weakness.
  • Georgia has dominated the series in recent years, winning the last several matchups by double digits. Mississippi State has struggled to keep games close against Georgia.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Georgia’s depth and talent advantage remain intact.
  • Game is in Starkville, but Georgia’s road performance in SEC play has been solid. Weather is expected to be clear, favoring an open, high-scoring game.
  • Georgia is in the thick of the SEC title race and national playoff contention, while Mississippi State is playing for bowl eligibility and pride. Georgia’s motivation is at its peak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs: -345, Mississippi State Bulldogs: 275 Georgia Bulldogs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Georgia Bulldogs: -9.5 -112, Mississippi State Bulldogs: 9.5 -108 Georgia Bulldogs -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 Over 56.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia is the clear favorite and should cover the spread and win outright. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with Georgia’s offense exploiting Mississippi State’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Georgia 38, Mississippi State 24


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Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA

Game Overview

SMU Mustangs (6-3) visit Boston College Eagles (1-8) with SMU heavily favored due to superior recent form, balanced offense, and a struggling BC defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SMU has won 4 of its last 5 games including an upset over top-10 Miami, showing strong offense and defense. Boston College has lost 8 straight, scoring poorly and struggling defensively, ranking near the bottom in scoring defense.
  • SMU leads the series 2-1 and won their last meeting 38-28 at home in 2024, indicating recent dominance over Boston College.
  • No major injury updates for SMU; Boston College's key contributors are underperforming but no significant injury news reported.
  • Game played at Boston College's home stadium, but their poor home form and motivation issues reduce home advantage.
  • SMU is motivated to continue momentum after a marquee win and maintain bowl eligibility; Boston College struggles with motivation after a disappointing season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston College +350, SMU -450 SMU Mustangs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Boston College +10.5 -110, SMU -10.5 -110 SMU Mustangs -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110, Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline SMU Mustangs -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

SMU Mustangs to win outright (moneyline), cover the 10.5-point spread, and the total score to go under 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 31 – Boston College Eagles 17


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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

This Sun Belt Conference matchup features the 6-2 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles visiting the 5-4 Arkansas State Red Wolves. Both teams are riding winning streaks with Southern Miss undefeated in conference play and Arkansas State showing strong recent form. The Golden Eagles are favored on the moneyline and spread, but Arkansas State has won the last two head-to-head contests.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss has won 4 consecutive games and holds a 6-2 record with strong offensive output. Arkansas State has also won 4 straight games, bringing momentum and confidence into this home game despite a slightly worse record (5-4). Southern Miss defense ranks top 10 in passing success rate, challenging Arkansas State's weaker passing offense.
  • Arkansas State has dominated recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 3 and both matchups last year by comfortable margins (44-28 and 44-37). This gives Arkansas State a psychological edge despite Southern Miss's better current season form.
  • No significant injury updates affecting key starters reported for either team, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Game played at Arkansas State's home stadium with mild weather (67Β°F, no rain, light wind), favoring the home side. Southern Miss has a slight disadvantage from travel but has managed away wins recently.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve conference standing. Arkansas State may have added motivation from previous head-to-head wins and home crowd support. Southern Miss wants to maintain its conference superiority and extend current winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arkansas State Red Wolves: +160, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -192 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Arkansas State Red Wolves +4.5: -112, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4.5: -108 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 55.5: -108, Under 55.5: -112 Over 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles win

Predicted Score: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 31 – 24 Arkansas State Red Wolves


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Army Black Knights vs. Temple Owls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs Temple Owls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, NY

Game Overview

The Army Black Knights (4-4) host the Temple Owls (5-4) in an American Athletic Conference matchup. Army relies heavily on a powerful rushing attack, ranking 6th nationally in rushing yards, while Temple struggles significantly on run defense (ranked 120th). Temple features a balanced offense with efficient passing and a solid ground game. Both teams have similar records but contrasting strengths and weaknesses. The betting market favors Army on the moneyline and spread, with a total set at 45.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Army's triple-option rushing offense is among the nation's best, generating sustained drives and controlling the clock, having covered 3 of their last 4 games. Temple has an average offense with a decent passing game and a productive ground attack led by Jay Ducker, but their defense is vulnerable against the run. Both teams have hovered around .500 this season (Army 4-4, Temple 5-4).
  • Recent data on direct matchups is limited, but Army has shown strong performance at home and against spread in recent games. Temple has been competitive overall but less effective on the road against strong rushing attacks like Army’s.
  • No significant injury reports indicating major impact on either team's key offensive or defensive players.
  • Game is played at Army’s home field, Michie Stadium, a venue known to amplify Army’s running game with crowd support and conditions favorable to their style.
  • Temple is seeking a bowl-eligible season with a 5-4 record and needs a win to advance closer. Army wants to improve its standing in the conference and exploit its strength at home. Army's recent ability to cover spreads and Temple’s defensive struggles suggest Army has a slight motivational edge given home advantage in a critical conference game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Army -240, Temple +198 Army Moneyline β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Army -6.5 -114, Temple +6.5 -106 Army -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 45.5 -110, Under 45.5 -110 Under 45.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Army Black Knights 94%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Army Black Knights at 94% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Army Black Knights to cover the -6.5 spread confidently, expecting a strong ground performance to control the game tempo and overcome Temple’s defense.

Predicted Score: Army 28 – Temple 17


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Marshall Thundering Herd vs. James Madison Dukes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison Dukes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia

Game Overview

James Madison Dukes (7-1) visit Marshall Thundering Herd (4-4) in a key Sun Belt Conference matchup. James Madison is highly favored due to their elite defense and strong rushing attack. Marshall has home advantage and a solid rushing offense but has struggled defensively and is underdog by a large spread.

Key Factors to Consider

  • James Madison ranks fifth nationally in run defense and has a top-3 rushing offense, carrying a six-game winning streak. Marshall ranks 18th in rushing offense but has a poor passing defense, allowing 266.3 yards per game. Marshall has won three straight home games but lost their last game 44-27.
  • In their last three meetings, Marshall has won two, including an overtime thriller 35-33 at James Madison’s home stadium. This suggests a capability for competitive play despite the current spread.
  • No significant injuries reported that would severely impact James Madison's top defense or Marshall's offensive leaders. Marshall's defensive struggles remain a concern, but key players like corner DeWain Trotter lead in interceptions.
  • Home field gives Marshall some advantage, though James Madison has dominated recent road conference games, including four coverages in last five away November games. Weather and travel factors expected to be normal.
  • James Madison is motivated by playoff contention and sustaining their winning streak, while Marshall aims to defend their home turf and keep in playoff contention. JMU’s motivation is stronger given the stakes and current form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline James Madison Dukes: -520, Marshall Thundering Herd: +400 James Madison Dukes β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 84%
Spread James Madison Dukes -13.5: -110, Marshall Thundering Herd +13.5: -110 Marshall Thundering Herd +13.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 54.5: -108, Under 54.5: -112 Over 54.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline James Madison Dukes 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 39%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

James Madison moneyline -520 is a strong bet given the team’s superior defense, rushing attack, and recent form. However, backing Marshall +13.5 spread could offer better value given Marshall’s home strength and history covering as an underdog. The total over 54.5 is favored because both teams can score and Marshall’s defense is vulnerable.

Predicted Score: James Madison Dukes 38 – Marshall Thundering Herd 27


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USC Trojans vs. Northwestern Wildcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Northwestern Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (Home of USC Trojans)

Game Overview

The USC Trojans are strong home favorites over the Northwestern Wildcats, expected to dominate offensively but with some defensive vulnerabilities. Northwestern, with a strong possession game and physical approach, aims to keep the margin respectable and avoid a shootout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC is currently ranked 19th, showing offensive prowess but an average defense vulnerable to physical run-heavy teams. Northwestern has won 4 of their last 5 games, exhibiting strength in ball control and time of possession, ranking 9th nationally in that metric.
  • Recent direct matchups have favored USC, especially at home. Northwestern has struggled to compete closely but has shown ability to cover spreads and maintain competitiveness.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters, implying both can deploy their typical game plans.
  • USC has home-field advantage and likely stronger fan support. Travel fatigue could mildly affect Northwestern but not decisively given typical college football road dynamics.
  • USC seeks to solidify their ranking with a convincing home win, while Northwestern looks to build on momentum and demonstrate Big Ten toughness on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -650, away: +470 USC Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread USC Trojans: -108, Northwestern Wildcats: -112 USC Trojans -14.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: -115, Under: -105 Under 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline USC Trojans -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans to cover the -14.5 spread and win outright in a moderately low scoring game under 50.5 points total.

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 28 – Northwestern Wildcats 13


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Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 7, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Game Overview

An AAC showdown with major College Football Playoff implications for the Group of Five. Memphis is ranked No. 25, holds an 8-1 record, and has won four straight at home. Tulane is 6-2, 3-1 in conference, and must rebound from a lopsided road loss to UTSA. The Tigers are 3.5-point favorites, with a tight race atop the American Conference standings at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Memphis has been dominant at home, winning four straight, and is coming off a convincing road win at Rice. Tulane's offense has regressed from last year and was exposed defensively by UTSA. Memphis is ranked No. 25 nationally, while Tulane is unranked.
  • Memphis won the last meeting 34-24 at Tulane, bringing the last six matchups to 3-3. However, Memphis has more momentum currently.
  • No major injury reports from either team are available in the available data. Assume both squads are near full strength.
  • Memphis enjoys a strong home-field advantage, outscoring opponents by an average of 14 points at home this season. Tulane is on the road after a tough loss and faces potential distractions from coaching rumors.
  • Memphis is fighting for a shot at the College Football Playoff as the Group of Five's top-ranked team. Tulane is motivated to keep pace in the AAC race, but their head coach is rumored for open jobs, potentially impacting focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Memphis -175, Tulane +145 Memphis β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Memphis -3.5 -110, Tulane +3.5 -110 Memphis -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Over/under Over 53.5 -115, Under 53.5 -105 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Memphis Tigers -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Memphis leans on their home field, superior form, and motivation for a playoff bid to win and cover, while Tulane's offense struggles to keep pace. The total points may go under, based on Tulane's offensive decline and Memphis' stingy home defense.

Predicted Score: Memphis 31, Tulane 24


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UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Acrisure Bounce House

Game Overview

The UCF Knights host the Houston Cougars in a key Big 12 conference matchup. Houston comes in as a slight favorite on the spread and moneyline, while UCF has won their last three head-to-head meetings, including a recent 27-13 victory at home the previous season. Houston seeks to maintain momentum after a recent loss, whereas UCF tries to rebound from multiple recent losses and push for bowl eligibility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston is 1.5-point spread favorite but lost their most recent game; they have won four straight on the road previously. UCF has lost four of their last five games but leads the all-time series and won the last three H2H matches.
  • UCF leads the series 8-3 and has won the last three meetings, including a 27-13 win at home last year.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that significantly impact starting lineup or key positions.
  • The game is at UCF’s home stadium, which has favored the Knights historically. Houston is fighting to stay in the Big 12 race, adding motivation. The time and venue are standard for both teams.
  • UCF is motivated to salvage their season and improve bowl chances, leaning on home advantage and recent H2H success. Houston is motivated to remain competitive in conference standings following a recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Cougars: -112, UCF Knights: -108 UCF Knights β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Houston Cougars: 1.5 -118, UCF Knights: -1.5 -102 UCF Knights -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -112, Under: 47.5 -108 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Cougars -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given UCF’s strong head-to-head performance at home and Houston’s slight recent slip, plus the narrow moneyline odds and spread, the best value play is UCF to win outright on the Moneyline.

Predicted Score: UCF Knights 24, Houston Cougars 21


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