Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-07
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a CFL regular season matchup. Calgary enters as a slight underdog on the moneyline, despite a strong recent head-to-head record against Hamilton. Both teams are looking to build early-season momentum, with Calgary holding a historical dominance but recent form showing Hamilton as more competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 4, scoring 28.0 points per game and conceding 21.4; while Hamilton won 3 of their last 5 games across all competitions, averaging 20.4 points per match but conceding more at 29.6 points per game. Calgary's recent form is stronger defensively, while Hamilton has shown inconsistency.
• Historically, Calgary leads the all-time series, with 65 wins to Hamilton's 34 (with four postseason games included), out of 99 total meetings. Since 2010, Calgary has won 21 of 25 regular matchups. In the last 5 meetings, Calgary leads 4-1, but in the broader recent 5 across all games, Hamilton has been more competitive (3 wins, but includes non-H2H games).
• No specific injury reports are available at this time for either team.
• The game is early in the season, reducing the impact of playoff or division pressures. Weather is typically mild in June in Calgary, but no extreme conditions are forecast.
• Both teams are motivated to start the season strong. Calgary may have extra motivation to defend their home turf and maintain their historical edge, though Hamilton is seeking revenge for recent head-to-head losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders: 112, Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -134	Calgary Stampeders to win (value play due to home advantage and superior recent H2H record)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 (-102), Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -1.5 (-120)	Calgary covers the spread (1.5 point underdog is minor hurdle)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 (-110), Under: 52.5 (-110)	Slight lean to Under given Calgary's recent defensive solidity and Hamilton's offensive inconsistency	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders 27%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win at home, covering the spread if key offensive units perform as usual. The total points are expected to be moderately high, but the under is slightly favored given recent scoring trends.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 27, Hamilton Tiger-Cats 23

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-06
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, Saskatchewan

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a critical early-season CFL matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating performances this season, with Saskatchewan leveraging a home-field advantage. The game is expected to be competitive given close historical matchups and the balanced offensive and defensive capabilities of both squads.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan Roughriders have been slightly stronger at home, with a more consistent offensive output and a defense that has performed well against the run and pass. Ottawa Redblacks have struggled to win on the road but bring a dynamic passing game and opportunistic defense that can exploit turnovers.
• Recent head-to-head matchups have been closely contested, with Saskatchewan holding a slight edge in wins. The games have often been decided by small margins and featured strong defensive plays and special teams impact.
• No significant injuries reported for either side leading into the game, maintaining a full-strength roster which should contribute to a high-quality competitive game.
• Weather conditions in Regina are projected to be mild and favorable for football. The crowd support for Saskatchewan is expected to be strong, positively influencing the home team’s performance.
• Saskatchewan aims to assert dominance early in the season and capitalize on home advantage. Ottawa seeks to prove resilience on the road and gain momentum, making motivation levels for both teams high.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks: +146, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -178	Saskatchewan Roughriders	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Ottawa Redblacks: +3.5 -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -3.5 -110	Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 49.5 -110, Under: 49.5 -110	Over 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saskatchewan Roughriders -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders are favored to win based on home advantage, team form, and betting odds. The Roughriders are expected to cover the spread with a moderately high scoring game around the projected total points line.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 21