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Montreal Alouettes vs. Calgary Stampeders Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (7-7) host the Calgary Stampeders (8-5) in a crucial late-season CFL matchup. Montreal is slight favorite at home, with both teams having strong defensive records, suggesting a competitive and potentially lower-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal is balanced with a 7-7 record but boasts a strong defense, leading the league in sacks and low yards allowed per play. Calgary comes off a recent heavy loss (52-23 vs Lions), indicating possible offensive struggles and vulnerabilities.
  • Recent results favor tight defensive matchups; Montreal holds a defensive edge, especially at home. Historically, games at Percival Molson have been close, with Montreal slightly favored.
  • Montreal welcomes back key corner Lorenzo Burns, enhancing their defensive secondary. Calgary had no significant reported injuries but offensive inefficiencies and turnovers remain a concern.
  • The game is played at Montreal's home stadium, providing a home crowd advantage. Weather and field conditions at this time of the year in Montreal typically favor defensive play due to cooler temperatures.
  • Montreal is fighting to improve its position in the East division playoffs, while Calgary seeks to rebound urgently after a demoralizing loss and maintain momentum for postseason seeding.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal -200, Calgary +164 Montreal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Montreal -4.5 -105, Calgary +4.5 -115 Montreal -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 50.5 -110, Under 50.5 -110 Under 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes moneyline, Montreal -4.5 spread, Under 50.5 total points

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 27 – Calgary Stampeders 20


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Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON

Game Overview

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-5) host Edmonton Elks (5-8) in a pivotal late-season CFL matchup. The Tiger-Cats are firmly favored due to stronger recent form, home advantage, and key player availability, while the Elks strive to upset as underdogs with a solid recent offensive showing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton is 8-5 and playing at home with QB Bo Levi Mitchell, who leads a potent offense expected to capitalize against a 5-8 Edmonton team that has struggled but showed offensive promise in a close loss to Toronto.
  • Historically, Hamilton has the edge over Edmonton in recent meetings. Last season and earlier in 2025, Hamilton often controlled matchups, leveraging their stronger defense and efficient offense.
  • No major injuries reported for key players on either side. Both QBs, Bo Levi Mitchell (Hamilton) and Cody Fajardo (Edmonton), are fully available, keeping offenses at full strength.
  • Home field advantage for Hamilton is significant at Tim Hortons Field. Weather conditions expected to be stable, neutral impact. Motivation is high on both sides as Hamilton chases playoff positioning while Edmonton fights for respectability.
  • Hamilton looks to solidify playoff seeding; Edmonton aims to disrupt and salvage their season record. The Tiger-Cats' better form and need for a win give them motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton: -245, Edmonton: +198 Hamilton Tiger-Cats ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Hamilton -5.5: -114, Edmonton +5.5: -106 Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 56.5: -115, Under 56.5: -105 Under 56.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 56.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win straight up and cover the spread. Expect a moderately high-scoring game but stay under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 31 – Edmonton Elks 22


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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON

Game Overview

The Ottawa Redblacks (4-9) host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-7) with Ottawa favored by 2.5 points and a total around 51.5. Both teams have notable struggles: Winnipeg with turnovers and defensive issues and Ottawa showing recent offensive improvements under QB Dru Brown.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg has a 6-7 record but is underperforming recently with 4 losses in last 5 games and high turnovers (26), while Ottawa (4-9) has won back-to-back games with improved offensive output led by Dru Brown.
  • Recent matchups have been competitive; Ottawa is slight favorite at home. Winnipeg has struggled to maintain leads and close out games lately.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting QBs Chris Streveler (Winnipeg) and Dru Brown (Ottawa), so key offensive leaders are expected to play.
  • Game played at Ottawa's TD Place, giving a homefield edge to Redblacks. Weather and travel factors are neutral given relatively short travel distance.
  • Ottawa seeks to build on momentum from back-to-back wins late in the season, improving morale. Winnipeg needs to avoid slip further out of playoff contention, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ottawa -152 / Winnipeg +126 Ottawa ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Ottawa -2.5 -118 / Winnipeg +2.5 -104 Ottawa -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 51.5 -110 / Under 51.5 -110 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ottawa Redblacks -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ottawa Redblacks moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 24


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Calgary Stampeders vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

Calgary Stampeders, coming off a bye week, face the BC Lions at McMahon Stadium. Calgary is positioned as a strong contender in the West with an 8-4 record, while BC holds a 6-7 record, recently snapping a two-game losing streak. Both teams have strong defensive and offensive capabilities, but Calgary displays greater consistency and recent dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary is 8-4 with most wins by more than a touchdown, showing strong defense and efficient offense, including a dominant recent win over Edmonton. BC is 6-7, recently stopped a losing skid, highlighted by strong defensive pressure with seven sacks in their last win.
  • Calgary has had more success in recent matchups including a convincing Labour Day Classic victory over Edmonton and the expectation to extend dominance in their home venue. BC needs to win twice in the next three weeks to catch Calgary in standings.
  • No major injuries reported for Calgary after their bye week. BC's key players appear fit, but any last-minute changes to starting quarterback status could impact outcome.
  • Calgary benefits from home-field advantage at McMahon Stadium and rest after a bye week. BC carries motivation to climb standings but must overcome travel and stadium disadvantage.
  • Calgary is motivated to climb to the top of the West standings and solidify playoff positioning, while BC aims to keep postseason hopes alive and challenge Calgary twice in short order.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -245, BC Lions +198 Calgary Stampeders ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Calgary Stampeders -5.5 -114, BC Lions +5.5 -106 Calgary Stampeders -5.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 54.5 -110, Under 54.5 -110 Under 54.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 54.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders moneyline win

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 31 – BC Lions 22


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Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-19
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (5-7) visit the Toronto Argonauts (4-8) with Montreal a clear favorite given their better recent form and home/away records. Toronto's defense has struggled significantly this season, especially against big plays, putting them at a disadvantage against Montreal's offense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal has been more consistent with a 7-3 SU record in their last 10 home games, while Toronto has given up 38+ points in 2 of their last 3 games and ranks near the bottom defensively in giving up big plays.
  • Recent matchups have favored Montreal, and they enter with a better win percentage and recent momentum compared to the struggling Argonauts.
  • No major injury reports indicate significant absences impacting either team; both teams are expected to be near full strength.
  • The game is at Toronto's BMO Field with typical early fall weather; no adverse conditions expected that would skew play significantly.
  • Montreal remains in playoff contention with slightly better odds, increasing motivation, while Toronto is trailing and fighting for relevance, possibly lowering their edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal -300, Toronto +240 Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Montreal -6.5 -122, Toronto +6.5 +100 Montreal Alouettes -6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 50.5 -110, Under 50.5 -110 Over 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the game to go over 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31 – Toronto Argonauts 20


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders, leading the CFL standings at 10-2 and favored to ultimately win the Grey Cup, host the 5-7 Montreal Alouettes. Saskatchewan has strong home advantage and a superior recent form, while Montreal struggles with consistency and key offensive production.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan Roughriders are 10-2 this season showing dominant offensive and defensive performances. Montreal Alouettes have gone 5-7, recently losing 26-9 to Hamilton with limited QB and offensive output.
  • Historically, Saskatchewan has been the stronger team in this matchup, especially at home. The Riders have won most recent encounters convincingly.
  • No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan. Montreal's offense shows signs of stagnation possibly linked to form issues and minor player performance dips but no critical injuries listed.
  • Playing at Mosaic Stadium gives Saskatchewan a solid home field advantage with strong fan support. Weather expected to be typical for early fall in Regina, unlikely to negatively impact gameplay materially.
  • Saskatchewan is highly motivated to maintain league lead and continue as Grey Cup favorites. Montreal strives to improve playoff hopes but are underdogs and coming off a demoralizing defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: +300, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -385 Saskatchewan Roughriders ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Montreal Alouettes: +7.5 -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -7.5 -110 Saskatchewan Roughriders -7.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 51.5 -102, Under: 51.5 -120 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up, cover the -7.5 spread, and the total score to go over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31 – Montreal Alouettes 20


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Toronto Argonauts vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON

Game Overview

The Toronto Argonauts (4-8) host the Edmonton Elks (5-7) in a pivotal late-season CFL clash at BMO Field. Toronto is a favorite at home with a slight edge in experience despite a losing record, while Edmonton comes off a strong rushing performance and win over Calgary.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edmonton enters with momentum after a 31-19 win featuring RB Justin Rankin's 204 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Toronto struggles defensively against the run (worst in CFL), and Edmonton's Rankin is a major offensive threat. Toronto QB Nick Arbuckle has produced over 300 passing yards in recent games, but the Argonauts' defense ranks low overall.
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but Toronto’s home advantage and favored moneyline suggest sportsbooks give them a narrow edge. Edmonton’s effective rushing attack, led by Rankin, is critical to their chances to cover the spread.
  • No major injury information reported for starters. Both QBs expected to start: Toronto's Nick Arbuckle and Edmonton's Cody Fajardo. No notable absences reported that would heavily influence outcome.
  • Playing at home benefits Toronto; BMO Field conditions favor passing offenses. Edmonton must travel west to east but are used to CFL travel schedules. Weather not expected to impact game significantly.
  • Both teams are fighting for postseason relevance late in the season; Edmonton riding confidence from last game’s win and strong rushing. Toronto needs a win at home to improve playoff hopes and leverage crowd support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto Argonauts -196, Edmonton Elks +162 Toronto Argonauts ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Edmonton Elks +3.5 -104, Toronto Argonauts -3.5 -118 Toronto Argonauts -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 56.5 -114, Under 56.5 -106 Over 56.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Argonauts -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Argonauts moneyline

Predicted Score: Toronto Argonauts 30 – Edmonton Elks 24


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BC Lions vs. Ottawa Redblacks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (5-7) host the Ottawa Redblacks (4-8) in a CFL matchup where BC enters as a strong favorite. Both teams are struggling but BC’s home advantage and superior stats position them as likely winners.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC Lions have a slightly better performance offensively and defensively, averaging 27.9 points scored and allowing 29.5 points, while Ottawa averages 24.7 points scored and concedes 28.7 points. BC also outpasses Ottawa significantly (319.3 vs 252.7 yards per game).
  • Recent meetings favor BC Lions considering stronger offensive production and home field advantage. Ottawa's recent loss with a backup QB lowered confidence.
  • Ottawa will be without starting QB Dru Brown (knee – out), a crucial loss impacting their offense. BC Lions have questionable status for key defensive players Garry Peters and Christian Covington but no confirmed outs.
  • Playing at BC Place favors the Lions with home crowd and field familiarity. Ottawa’s travel and backup QB disadvantage reduce their competitiveness. Both teams face playoff pressure but BC is more motivated to improve standing.
  • BC Lions motivated to control divisional standings and return to winning ways after recent inconsistent form. Ottawa has slim playoff chances and a major QB injury but will still compete hard to keep hopes alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions -490, Ottawa Redblacks +365 BC Lions ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread BC Lions -9.5 (-115), Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 (-105) BC Lions -9.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 56.5 -110, Under 56.5 -110 Over 56.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions to win comfortably straight up and cover the -9.5 spread with a moderately high scoring game expected.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 34 – 21 Ottawa Redblacks


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Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON

Game Overview

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-5) host Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-6) in a CFL matchup. Both teams are closely matched in season performance with Hamilton slightly ahead. QB matchup features Bo Levi Mitchell vs Zach Collaros, with Winnipeg coming off a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton shows consistent home strength with a 7-5 record, while Winnipeg sits just below .500 at 6-6. Winnipeg struggles slightly with turnovers, as seen in their recent 21-13 loss where Collaros threw two interceptions.
  • Recent meetings favor Hamilton slightly given their home advantage at Tim Hortons Field. Winnipeg has been competitive but tends to struggle to cover larger spreads on the road.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key starters, maintaining typical season form.
  • Weather and venue conditions favor Hamilton with familiar turf and home crowd support. No evident travel fatigue for Winnipeg despite being away.
  • Hamilton is motivated to solidify playoff positioning at home, while Winnipeg aims to recover and push above .500 after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -285, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: 230 Hamilton Tiger-Cats ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats -6.5: -114, Winnipeg Blue Bombers +6.5: -106 Hamilton Tiger-Cats -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 51.5: -110, Under 51.5: -110 Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win moneyline and cover the -6.5 spread; expect under 52 points scored

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 20


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Edmonton Elks vs. Calgary Stampeders Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders (8-3) visit the Edmonton Elks (4-7) for a pivotal CFL matchup. Calgary is favored by 6 points and the total over/under is set near 50.5. Both teams have quarterbacks with proven experience: Vernon Adams Jr. for Calgary and Cody Fajardo for Edmonton. Edmonton has shown defensive improvement and recent offensive uptick under Fajardo, while Calgary enters with strong form and a recent decisive win over Edmonton.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary holds a superior 8-3 record versus Edmonton's 4-7. Calgary has been dominant overall but Edmonton has improved from an early-season 1-6 start, winning their last three contests with Fajardo at QB and a defense allowing 22 points or fewer in those games.
  • Calgary won the last meeting convincingly 28-7, but Edmonton has won four of the last five head-to-head matchups more recently, showing competitiveness in this rivalry.
  • No significant injuries reported for starting QBs Vernon Adams Jr. (Calgary) and Cody Fajardo (Edmonton). Both teams appear to have their key playmakers available.
  • The game’s location in Edmonton could favor the home team, who have motivation to defend home turf. Weather conditions forecast appears stable with no listed impact. Division rivalry enhances intensity.
  • Edmonton is motivated to continue their resurgence and avoid a losing season, while Calgary aims to consolidate their playoff positioning with a dominant road win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders: -250, Edmonton Elks: +205 Calgary Stampeders ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Calgary Stampeders -6: -108, Edmonton Elks +6: -112 Calgary Stampeders -6 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 50.5: -105, Under 50.5: -115 Under 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders moneyline win

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 27 – Edmonton Elks 20


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