Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Allianz Parque, São Paulo
Game Overview
Palmeiras hosts Fortaleza in a Brazil Campeonato match where Palmeiras is the strong favorite given their home form and recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras holds a strong recent form with 14 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, showing consistency; Fortaleza struggles with 4 wins and 12 losses, including recent poor away form.
- In the previous meeting on 20/04/2025, Palmeiras won 2-1 away at Fortaleza. Overall, Palmeiras has dominated recent encounters.
- No major injury concerns reported for Palmeiras; Fortaleza has typical squad rotation issues but no key absences.
- Match at Palmeiras’ home ground gives them a clear advantage; no weather or travel issues reported.
- Palmeiras is motivated to consolidate league position with a home win, Fortaleza aims to upset but is under pressure due to poor away results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras: -300, Fortaleza: +825, Draw: +390 | Palmeiras | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | Palmeiras -1.25: -122, Fortaleza +1.25: +102 | Palmeiras -1.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win straight up, with a winning margin of at least 2 goals and a game total of under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0