Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Vitoria – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
Game Overview
Flamengo, top of the table with strong recent form, faces struggling Vitoria, currently near relegation zone. Flamengo are heavy favorites at home with dominant statistics and motivation to maintain their lead.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo holds 12W-4D-2L record with +25 goal difference, showing consistent strength. Vitoria sits 16th with 3W-9D-7L and -6 GD, struggling in defense and attack.
- Flamengo has dominated previous meetings, including a recent 2-1 away win. Historical stats favor Flamengo with higher win rates.
- No major injury concerns reported for Flamengo. Vitoria likely impacted by squad depth issues but no high-profile absences noted.
- Home advantage strongly favors Flamengo at Maracanã. No adverse weather or external disruptions expected.
- Flamengo aims to extend lead atop standings; Vitoria motivated to avoid relegation but unlikely to match Flamengo's quality.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -500, away: 1300, draw: 525 | Flamengo | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | home: -118, away: -102 | Flamengo -1.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | over: -105, under: -115 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win moneyline, cover spread -1.75, and Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0