Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Cruzeiro's Home Stadium
Game Overview
Cruzeiro hosts Fortaleza in the Brazilian Serie A. Cruzeiro is favored due to their strong recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cruzeiro has a strong recent form with 15 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses. They average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Fortaleza has struggled with injuries.
- In their last meeting, Cruzeiro won 2-0. Historically, Cruzeiro has had the upper hand.
- Cruzeiro has Fagner, Luis Sinisterra, and Matheus Henrique injured. Fortaleza is more severely impacted with multiple players out, including Joao Ricardo and Leandro Martinez.
- Cruzeiro's home advantage and strong attacking set pieces are significant factors.
- Cruzeiro is highly motivated to maintain their form and secure points.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro: -245, Fortaleza: 650, Draw: 350 | Cruzeiro | ★★★★☆ 82% |
Spread | Cruzeiro: -1.25 102, Fortaleza: 1.25 -122 | Cruzeiro -1.25 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -108, Under: 2.5 -112 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cruzeiro is likely to dominate this match due to their strong recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Cruzeiro 2-0 Fortaleza
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