Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Vitoria – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-17
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Botafogo Home Stadium
Game Overview
Botafogo and Vitoria face off in the Brazilian Campeonato with Botafogo hosting. Botafogo enters the match favored by bookmakers with a strong home record, while Vitoria has struggled recently with no wins in their last six matches. Both teams have a history of relatively low-scoring matches and some competitive head-to-head battles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Botafogo has shown better recent form with 4 wins, 2 losses, and no draws in their last 6 matches, scoring on average 1.17 goals per game. Vitoria has failed to win in their last 6 and scored only 0.17 goals per game, indicating offensive issues.
- The historical matchup between Botafogo and Vitoria is fairly balanced with Botafogo winning 40% of their last 30 games, Vitoria 33%, and 27% draws. However, recent matches favor Botafogo's strength at home.
- No explicit injury information is available from the search results; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups significantly.
- No significant external factors such as weather or venue changes noted. The match is played at Botafogo's home venue, providing a home advantage.
- Botafogo is motivated to maintain strong home form in the league, while Vitoria looks to end a poor streak. Botafogo's better recent results suggest higher motivation and confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo: -195, Vitoria: 575, Draw: 320 | Botafogo | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Botafogo: -1 -112, Vitoria: +1 -108 | Botafogo -1 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Botafogo to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 goal spread, with a low-scoring game under 2.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0