Match Analysis: Rafael Espinoza vs Arnold Khegai – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

Rafael Espinoza (home/favorite) faces Arnold Khegai (away/underdog) in a lightweight boxing matchup. Espinoza enters as a heavy favorite with odds of -2000, while Khegai is listed at +850. This is a significant mismatch in perceived ability, with Espinoza favored to dominate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rafael Espinoza is characterized as a formidable puncher with a high KO ratio, making him dangerous in knockout scenarios. Arnold Khegai brings experience and resilience, employing a tactical, defensive approach with strong stamina and ability to withstand pressure.
• No prior head-to-head history is documented in available data. This is their first matchup.
• No injury information available in provided search results.
• Espinoza's aggressive style contrasts sharply with Khegai's defensive, counter-attacking strategy. Khegai's quick counterattacks and technical approach may provide tactical intrigue despite the odds disparity.
• Espinoza is heavily favored and expected to validate his status as a top lightweight contender. Khegai faces an underdog role but has shown resilience in previous fights, providing motivation for a potential upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Espinoza -2000, Khegai +850	Rafael Espinoza Moneyline	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	7.5 rounds: Over -115, Under -115	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Draw -100%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 7.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Espinoza defeats Arnold Khegai via knockout or technical knockout in the mid-to-late rounds. Espinoza's superior power, aggressive style, and heavy favorite status align with market expectations, though Khegai's defensive skills may extend the fight longer than some expect.

Predicted Score: Rafael Espinoza wins by KO/TKO in Round 6

Match Analysis: Lindolfo Delgado vs Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico

Game Overview

Lindolfo Delgado faces Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela in a 12-round IBF junior welterweight eliminator. Delgado enters undefeated (23-0, 16 KOs), while Valenzuela is experienced (31-4-1, 17 KOs) but coming off a loss to Subriel Matias in March 2025. The fight is a high-stakes eliminator with both fighters motivated to secure a world title shot.

Key Factors to Consider

• Delgado is undefeated with strong knockout power (16 KOs in 23 wins). Valenzuela has faced higher-level opposition but has lost 4 of his last 31, including a recent unanimous decision loss to Matias. Valenzuela has gone the distance in 2 of his last 5 fights and has only 1 stoppage in that span.
• No previous meetings between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Mexico, likely giving Delgado a home advantage. The eliminator status increases pressure on both fighters to perform decisively.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win and advance toward a world title shot. Delgado seeks to prove he belongs at the elite level, while Valenzuela aims to rebound from his recent loss and remain in contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -475, away: 330	Lindolfo Delgado	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: -2.5, away: +2.5	Lindolfo Delgado -2.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: 10.5, under: 10.5	Under 10.5	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lindolfo Delgado -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lindolfo Delgado at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lindolfo Delgado wins by decision. Delgado's undefeated record, youth, and power will be too much for Valenzuela, who has shown vulnerability against top-level opposition. Expect Delgado to control the fight and win on points.

Predicted Score: Lindolfo Delgado wins by unanimous decision (118-110, 117-111, 116-112)

Match Analysis: Richard Torrez Jr vs Tomas Salek – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico

Game Overview

Richard Torrez Jr, an Olympic medalist and rising heavyweight prospect, faces Czech boxer Tomas Salek in a 10-round heavyweight bout. Torrez Jr enters as an overwhelming favorite, with bookmakers assigning him a 94-95% win probability. This matchup represents a significant step-up test for the younger, less experienced Torrez Jr against a more battle-tested opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Torrez Jr (26 years old, 17 professional fights, 43 rounds) is an Olympic medalist showcasing exceptional technical skill, precise jab work, and methodical fighting style with solid defense. He boasts an 85% knockout percentage. Salek (27 years old, more experienced with 139 professional rounds) is an aggressive, straightforward fighter with 14 knockouts who seeks early finishes and trades blows actively. Despite higher experience, Salek has suffered losses and fights with less technical refinement.
• No previous matchup history. This is a novel encounter between two heavyweight prospects on different trajectories.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• The event is promoted by Zanfer and Top Rank on Mexican soil, potentially providing some advantage to Torrez Jr domestically. The 10-round format allows for a full evaluation of both fighters' conditioning and technique.
• Torrez Jr is ranked highly by major sanctioning bodies (WBC #11, WBO #11, IBF #4) and is seeking to establish himself as a legitimate heavyweight contender. Salek represents a credible opponent to boost his resume. Salek, as the underdog, is motivated for a potential upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Torrez Jr -20000 / Salek +1800	Richard Torrez Jr Moneyline	★★★★★ 94%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110 / Under 2.5 rounds -110 (estimated)	Over 2.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Richard Torrez Jr -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richard Torrez Jr at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Torrez Jr wins by decision or late stoppage. His superior technical skills, Olympic pedigree, youth advantage, and elite defensive capabilities will prove too much for Salek's aggressive but less refined approach. Torrez Jr's methodical style and distance control will neutralize Salek's knockout power while accumulating points over the distance.

Predicted Score: Torrez Jr via UD (97-93 or 98-92) or TKO Round 8-9

Match Analysis: Emiliano Vargas vs Jonathan Montrel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 12:25 AM UTC
• Location: Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico

Game Overview

Undefeated prospect Emiliano Vargas (15-0, 13 KOs) faces experienced challenger Jonathan Montrel (19-3, 13 KOs) in a 10-round Super Lightweight bout. Vargas enters as an overwhelming favorite with massive moneyline odds, but the matchup presents interesting value considerations given the significant experience and record disparity.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vargas is a perfect 15-0 with an 87% knockout rate, indicating elite finishing power. Montrel brings a respectable 19-3 record with 68% knockout rate but has suffered three losses. Vargas's 13 consecutive knockouts demonstrate dominant recent form, while Montrel's losses suggest vulnerability against elite opposition.
• No prior H2H record exists. This is an asymmetric matchup between an undefeated young prospect and an experienced veteran gatekeeper. Vargas's youth (21 years old) combined with Montrel's age (35 years old, 14-year gap) suggests Vargas has significant physical advantages.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• Vargas enjoys a 2-inch height advantage and 7-inch reach advantage, both critical in boxing. The fight location in Mexico may provide environmental factors. Vargas has fought only 41 professional rounds compared to Montrel's 82, indicating less ring experience but fresher legs. Vargas made his debut in 2022 (3 years ago) while Montrel turned pro in 2018 (7 years ago).
• Vargas is a rising prospect seeking to maintain undefeated status and build his resume. Montrel is a veteran likely seeking a paycheck against a favorable opponent or potential career resurgence. The oddsmakers' 92% implied probability on Vargas suggests the market has already priced in his dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vargas -2800 / Montrel +1100	Emiliano Vargas Wins	★★★★☆ 89%
Over/under	Estimated over/under likely set around 4.5-5.5 rounds based on Vargas's 87% KO rate	UNDER (Fight ends by KO/TKO within 5 rounds)	★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Emiliano Vargas -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Emiliano Vargas at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Emiliano Vargas wins decisively by knockout or decision. The overwhelming combination of physical advantages (height, reach, age), perfect record with elite knockout percentage, and superior athleticism makes Vargas the clear victor. However, the -2800 moneyline odds offer poor value for bettors despite the high probability outcome.

Predicted Score: Emiliano Vargas via KO Round 4 (most likely); if distance, Vargas 10-0 or 10-1 decision

Match Analysis: Chris Eubank Jr vs Conor Benn – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The rematch between Chris Eubank Jr and Conor Benn is set at middleweight with Eubank Jr as the more experienced fighter and favorite based on recent form and rankings. The bout is scheduled for 12 rounds, and the fight dynamics favor Eubank Jr due to physical advantages and tactical superiority.

Key Factors to Consider

• Eubank Jr has won 4 of his last 5 fights, including a unanimous decision win over Benn in April 2025. Benn is motivated but less experienced with fewer rounds fought professionally.
• Eubank Jr won the first fight by unanimous decision over 12 rounds, showing superior ring control and scoring.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter as of the fight week.
• Fight takes place in London, giving a slight home advantage atmosphere for Eubank Jr. No notable external disruptions or distractions.
• Benn is highly motivated to avenge his previous loss and improve his record, but Eubank Jr also seeks to solidify his position in middleweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -160, away: +124	Chris Eubank Jr	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	home -1.5 rounds: -140, away +1.5 rounds: +120	Chris Eubank Jr -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over 10.5 rounds: -150, under 10.5 rounds: +120	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chris Eubank Jr 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Eubank Jr to win by unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Chris Eubank Jr wins by unanimous decision after 11 rounds

Match Analysis: Jack Catterall vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Jack Catterall (31-2, 13 KOs) faces Ekow Essuman (22-1, 8 KOs) in a 10-round welterweight contest. Catterall enters as the heavy favorite with superior record, experience, and knockout power. Essuman presents as an underdog with a solid record but facing a significantly stronger opponent in a hostile environment.

Key Factors to Consider

• Catterall demonstrates elite credentials with a 31-2 record and 42% knockout rate, showing both boxing skill and power. Essuman's 22-1 record with 36% KO rate is respectable but indicates a step down in competition level. Catterall's superior win-loss record and knockout percentage suggest clear technical and physical advantages.
• No prior matchup history. This is a fresh encounter with no direct comparative data, but Catterall's overall profile (31 wins vs 22 wins, higher KO %) suggests dominance potential.
• No reported injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy and ready for competition.
• Fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, potentially favoring Essuman with home-crowd support. However, Catterall's superior skill should overcome any crowd disadvantage. The 10-round format favors technical boxers, which suits Catterall's fighting style.
• Catterall seeks to maintain elite status and assert dominance. Essuman has significant motivation as an underdog fighting at home with a chance for a career-defining upset. Catterall's motivation appears more focused on performance validation than desperation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Catterall -225, Essuman +175	Jack Catterall Moneyline	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	KO/TKO: Catterall +650, Essuman +750	Decision (Under on Combined KO odds)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jack Catterall -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jack Catterall at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jack Catterall wins by decision. While Essuman's home advantage and height/reach superiority (3 inches each) provide some leverage, Catterall's superior experience, knockout power, and overall record make him the clear favorite. A competitive fight is expected, but Catterall's skill edge should prevail over 10 rounds.

Predicted Score: Jack Catterall wins by Unanimous Decision (98-92 or 97-93 scorecard) via technical boxing and consistent point accumulation rather than knockout.

Match Analysis: Richard Riakporhe vs Tommy Welch – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Richard Riakporhe faces Tommy Welch in a 10-round heavyweight bout. Riakporhe is a clear favorite with a strong knockout rate and more professional experience, while Welch remains undefeated but is the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Riakporhe holds an 18-1 record with 78% KO rate and recent form includes 4 KOs in his last 5 fights. Welch is undefeated at 16-0 with a 56% KO rate but lacks Riakporhe's power and experience.
• No previous encounters between Riakporhe and Welch.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight held in London at a major venue during a high-profile event, likely favoring the more experienced Riakporhe in handling pressure.
• Riakporhe aims to rebound from his only loss and solidify his heavyweight status; Welch seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Richard Riakporhe: -1600, Tommy Welch: +800	Richard Riakporhe	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Riakporhe -2.5 rounds: -120, Welch +2.5 rounds: +100	Riakporhe -2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: +110, Under 7.5 rounds: -130	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Richard Riakporhe -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richard Riakporhe at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Riakporhe to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Riakporhe wins by KO in round 4

Match Analysis: Sam Gilley vs Ishmael Davis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The super welterweight clash between Sam Gilley and Ishmael Davis features Davis as the favorite with odds of -330 versus Gilley's +245. Gilley holds a strong record of 18-1-1 with a higher knockout percentage (50%) compared to Davis's 13-3-0 and 46% KO ratio. Davis is favored due to recent form and battlefield momentum, but Gilley’s experience and power provide a credible upset potential.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Gilley has an 18-1-1 record with 9 KOs and consistent performances but fewer recent knockouts. Ishmael Davis holds a 13-3 record with 6 KOs, though he has struggled recently with three losses in close or late-notice fights, showing some vulnerability despite being favored.
• No direct previous bouts between Gilley and Davis, but Gilley's longer professional career and more fights (114 rounds vs 97 rounds) lend him slight experience advantage.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The bout occurs at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a major venue possibly favoring the well-prepared favorite Davis. Davis has had a rough streak but fights motivated by British and Commonwealth title implications, increasing competitiveness.
• Davis aims to cement himself on a grander stage after late-notice tough losses, while Gilley, the underdog, is motivated to capitalize on power and experience to upset the favorite and claim titles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +245, away: -330	Ishmael Davis	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: +245, away: -330	Ishmael Davis -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Over 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ishmael Davis at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ishmael Davis to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by KO in round 8

Match Analysis: Mikie Tallon vs Fezan Shahid – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England

Game Overview

Mikie 'The Omen' Tallon (10-0-0) faces Fezan 'Fizzy' Shahid (4-2-2) in an 8-round super flyweight bout. Tallon enters with a perfect undefeated record while Shahid has a mixed record with 4 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws. This matchup showcases a dominant prospect against a journeyman-level opponent with considerably less technical polish and experience consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mikie Tallon maintains a pristine 10-0-0 record with consistent victories demonstrating ring adaptation and technical superiority. His dominant streak reflects strong conditioning and opponent management. Fezan Shahid's 4-2-2 record indicates significant inconsistency, with losses suggesting vulnerability against better competition. The disparity in undefeated status is substantial—Tallon has never tasted defeat while Shahid has already experienced multiple setbacks.
• No previous matchup history exists between these fighters. However, comparative record analysis shows Tallon's previous opponents appear less experienced than typical competition, whereas Shahid has faced mixed-quality opposition resulting in his draw and loss record. Tallon's technical advancement over Shahid appears pronounced.
• No injuries reported for either fighter entering this bout.
• This fight serves as undercard support for the primary event featuring Chris Eubank Jr. versus Conor Benn, providing Tallon platform exposure on DAZN. Tallon fights in his development phase against a relatively beatable opponent, suggesting matchmaker intent to preserve his unblemished record while building credentials.
• Tallon seeks to extend his undefeated streak and build toward title contention in the super flyweight division. Shahid requires a victory to demonstrate improvement and avoid further career degradation given his existing loss record. The motivational advantage distinctly favors Tallon as the prospect with trajectory momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tallon: -25000 | Shahid: +2000	Mikie Tallon Victory	★★★★★ 94%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Draw -100%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Mikie Tallon wins decisively via decision or stoppage. The extreme moneyline odds (-25000) accurately reflect the substantial skill gap between an undefeated prospect and a journeyman-level opponent.

Predicted Score: Tallon 80-72 to 80-71 (UD) or TKO Round 6-7