Match Analysis: Xander Zayas vs Jorge Garcia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Theater Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

This super welterweight world title fight features undefeated rising star Xander Zayas (21-0, 13 KOs) against veteran challenger Jorge Garcia (33-4, 26 KOs) for the vacant WBO title. Zayas enters as a strong favorite with home crowd advantage, while Garcia earned this title shot off a career-best performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Xander Zayas has been undefeated with consistent recent wins including a strong showing in his last fight against Slawa Spomer. Jorge Garcia has 4 career losses but has shown resilience and power, including a notable upset over Charles Conwell to secure this shot.
• No prior head-to-head meetings between Xander Zayas and Jorge Garcia. Styles will test youth and reach of Zayas against Garcia's experience and power.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout.
• The fight is held at Madison Square Garden where Zayas is likely to receive the majority support, giving him an external boost. The bout also marks a milestone as the last Top Rank show on ESPN, increasing visibility and pressure.
• Xander Zayas is highly motivated to capture his first world title on home turf and justify his undefeated status. Garcia is motivated by having earned the upset win that brought him here and seeks to capitalize on his opportunities against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Xander Zayas: -500, Jorge Garcia: 350	Xander Zayas	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Xander Zayas -3.5: -110, Jorge Garcia +3.5: -110	Xander Zayas -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -300, Under 10.5 rounds: 225	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Xander Zayas -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 111%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 111% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Xander Zayas to win by decision

Predicted Score: Xander Zayas wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds

Match Analysis: Emiliano Vargas vs Alexander Espinoza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Theater, Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Emiliano Vargas, a highly favored Mexican American prospect, faces Ecuadorian Alexander Espinoza in an 8-round junior welterweight bout. Vargas comes in with strong fan and expert support, expected to dominate the bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vargas has demonstrated superior recent form, with unanimous community and expert predictions favoring him winning by knockout. Espinoza, while capable, does not show competitive recent results or momentum against Vargas.
• No prior recorded head-to-head fights between Vargas and Espinoza, making recent form and betting odds critical for analysis.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter entering the bout, as per public training updates.
• Fight occurring at Madison Square Garden provides Vargas a quasi-home advantage with supportive local fan base. Vargas has completed full training camp without disruptions.
• Vargas seeks to maintain unbeaten momentum and ascend rankings, while Espinoza aims to secure an upset. The motivation gap favors Vargas due to championship aspirations and higher profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Emiliano Vargas: -1600, Alexander Espinoza: 850	Emiliano Vargas	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Vargas -3.5 rounds: -120, Espinoza +3.5 rounds: +100	Vargas -3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 5.5 rounds: +110, Under 5.5 rounds: -130	Under 5.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Emiliano Vargas -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Emiliano Vargas at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Emiliano Vargas to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Vargas wins by KO in round 4

Match Analysis: Bruce Carrington vs Mateus Heita – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden Theater, New York, USA

Game Overview

Bruce Carrington, the undefeated Brooklyn native, faces Mateus Heita for the WBC interim featherweight title. Carrington has been consistent in his recent form, with a mix of knockouts and decisions. Heita, although unbeaten, is stepping up against a formidable opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Carrington remains undefeated, with recent wins showcasing both power and endurance. Heita is also unbeaten but lacks experience against top-tier opponents like Carrington.
• There is no recent head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reports of significant injuries for either fighter.
• The fight being held at Madison Square Garden Theater, a familiar venue for Carrington, might provide a psychological advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with a title on the line.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-5000 (Carrington), 1200 (Heita)	Bruce Carrington	★★★★★ 92%
Over/under	Over 4.5 -115, Under 4.5 -115	Over 4.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bruce Carrington -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 4.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bruce Carrington is expected to win due to his recent strong performances and experience against tougher opponents.

Predicted Score: Bruce Carrington by TKO in the 6th round

Match Analysis: Rohan Polanco vs Quinton Randall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Theater

Game Overview

Rohan Polanco, a strong welterweight favorite, faces Quinton Randall, the underdog in this matchup. Polanco is heavily favored both by bookmakers and recent performance indicators to control the fight and secure a decisive victory.

Key Factors to Consider

• Polanco has shown dominant recent form with decisive wins and consistent performances, while Randall has struggled against higher-tier opponents and lacks notable recent victories.
• No recorded previous meetings, so the matchup is assessed primarily on current form and styles.
• No reported injuries or fitness issues for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place in a neutral venue with no obvious external factors favoring either fighter aside from Polanco’s higher profile and recent momentum.
• Polanco seeks to maintain rising momentum and capitalize on heavy favoritism, while Randall aims to upset by leveraging his underdog status, though the motivation gap favors Polanco.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -2000, away: 850	Rohan Polanco	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	home (-3.5 rounds): -180, away (+3.5 rounds): 150	Rohan Polanco -3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over 8.5: -230, under 8.5: 190	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rohan Polanco -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 103%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 103% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 54.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rohan Polanco to win convincingly by decision within 10 rounds based on strong recent form and high confidence from bookmakers.

Predicted Score: Rohan Polanco wins by decision in 8 rounds

Match Analysis: Yan Santana vs Aarón Alameda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: New York City (NYC Debut for Santana)

Game Overview

Undefeated prospect Yan Carlos Santana (14-0, 12 KOs), known for his aggressive style and high knockout rate, makes his NYC debut against experienced but less active veteran Aarón Alameda (30-2, 0 KOs). This fight is a major step up for Santana, while Alameda has fought higher-level opposition but not recently. The bout is in the undercard, suggesting competitive expectations, but Santana is heavily favored.

Key Factors to Consider

• Santana is undefeated, with 12 KOs in 14 wins, showing elite finishing ability. Alameda has a strong record but lacks recent activity and has never scored a knockout.
• No previous meetings between these fighters. The stylistic clash—Santana’s aggression and power versus Alameda’s experience and technical skill—is a main theme.
• No public reports of injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy and prepared for scheduled bout.
• Santana debuting in NYC may add motivation, but also possible debut nerves. Alameda’s experience could help if the fight goes late.
• Santana is looking to establish himself on a bigger stage. Alameda, despite being the underdog, is fighting a hot prospect, which could bring extra urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Santana -600, Alameda +400	Santana	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -195, Under 8.5 +150	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Yan Santana -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 63%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yan Santana by KO/TKO between rounds 6–8, leveraging his power and aggressive combinations against Alameda’s technical but less powerful game.

Predicted Score: Santana by KO/TKO in Round 7

Match Analysis: Caroline Veyre vs Licia Boudersa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Game Overview

A 10-round featherweight bout between Caroline Veyre and Licia Boudersa at the Little Caesars Arena, with the WBC Silver Featherweight Title on the line.

Key Factors to Consider

• Caroline Veyre holds a 9-1-0 record with no knockout wins and consistent technical boxing, while Licia Boudersa boasts a more extensive record of 24-3-2 but similarly lacks KO power, relying on resilience and technique.
• No confirmed previous direct matchups between Veyre and Boudersa have been recorded, indicating this is their first professional meeting.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter heading into the bout.
• Fight is held in Detroit with no evident home advantage; both fighters are French nationals. The WBC Silver featherweight title adds stakes.
• Both fighters motivated by the WBC Silver Featherweight title opportunity; Veyre seeks to prove herself at a higher level, while Boudersa brings greater experience with a larger fight count.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Caroline Veyre: -1000, Licia Boudersa: 600	Caroline Veyre	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Caroline Veyre -2.5 rounds: -150, Licia Boudersa +2.5 rounds: +130	Caroline Veyre -2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Over 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Caroline Veyre -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Caroline Veyre at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Caroline Veyre to win by decision

Predicted Score: Caroline Veyre wins via unanimous decision after 10 rounds

Match Analysis: Bakhodir Jalolov vs Gianmarco Cardillo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 27, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Bakhodir Jalolov is heavily favored over Gianmarco Cardillo in this heavyweight boxing match. Jalolov, being the significant favorite, is likely to rely on his superior skills and recent form to secure a victory.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bakhodir Jalolov has shown strong recent form, which contributes to his status as a heavy favorite. Gianmarco Cardillo faces a tough challenge against a formidable opponent.
• No prior head-to-head matchups are noted, but Jalolov's overall performance suggests a strong advantage.
• No significant injuries are reported for either fighter.
• The temperature and humidity might affect the fighters' performance, but there is no specific information available on this aspect.
• Jalolov is likely highly motivated to maintain his winning streak and reputation as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bakhodir Jalolov: -5000, Gianmarco Cardillo: 1200	Bakhodir Jalolov	★★★★★ 92%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bakhodir Jalolov -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bakhodir Jalolov at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bakhodir Jalolov to win by KO/TKO or DQ

Predicted Score: Bakhodir Jalolov wins by KO/TKO in early rounds

Match Analysis: Claressa Shields vs Lani Daniels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Game Overview

Claressa Shields, the reigning undisputed heavyweight champion and one of the best female boxers in history, defends her title against IBF light-heavyweight champion Lani Daniels. Shields is a -5000 favorite, reflecting her dominance, while Daniels is a major underdog with no recent losses but a massive step up in competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shields is undefeated (11-0-0, 2 KOs), with 4 world titles, and has beaten all recent opponents by wide margins—including a shutout of another top heavyweight contender, Danielle Perkins. Daniels is a two-division champion in New Zealand but has never faced a fighter of Shields' caliber and is moving up two weight classes. Shields stops about 50% of recent opponents, but not all early, often dominating decision wins.
• No direct H2H history. Shields has beaten every top contender put in front of her, while Daniels is untested at this global elite level.
• No public reports of injuries for either fighter.
• Shields fights at home, with crowd support. The event is on a major streaming platform (DAZN), but no unusual external variables.
• Shields is motivated to defend her undisputed titles and cement her legacy as the best female boxer ever. Daniels is motivated for the biggest opportunity of her career and the chance to shock the world.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shields -5000, Daniels +1200	Shields	★★★★★ 98%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -260, Under 8.5 +210	Over 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Claressa Shields -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shields will dominate from start to finish, using her power, speed, and experience to outclass Daniels. While an underdog miracle is always possible in boxing, the gulf in class suggests this is one of the biggest mismatches in recent women's boxing. Expect a decisive Shields victory by decision, with a small chance of a late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Claressa Shields wins by unanimous decision, scorecards 100-90, 100-90, 100-90

Match Analysis: Samantha Worthington vs Victoire Piteau – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Game Overview

Samantha Worthington faces Victoire Piteau for the WBA interim female junior welterweight title. Worthington is undefeated with a record of 11-0-0 and 7 KOs, while Piteau has a record of 14-2-0 with 2 KOs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Worthington's undefeated professional record and strong amateur background give her an edge. Piteau’s experience and determination are notable, but her knockout power is limited.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Fighting in the U.S. could be a significant factor for Piteau, who is used to European bouts.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Worthington seeking her first title and Piteau looking to establish herself in the U.S. boxing scene.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Samantha Worthington: -665, Victoire Piteau: 440	Samantha Worthington	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 8.5: -500, Under 8.5: 350	Over 8.5	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Samantha Worthington -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 -16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Samantha Worthington at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samantha Worthington will likely win by decision due to her technical skills and forceful style.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Samantha Worthington