Match Analysis: Richard Riakporhe vs Tommy Welch – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Game Overview
Richard Riakporhe faces Tommy Welch in a 10-round heavyweight bout. Riakporhe is a clear favorite with a strong knockout rate and more professional experience, while Welch remains undefeated but is the underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Riakporhe holds an 18-1 record with 78% KO rate and recent form includes 4 KOs in his last 5 fights. Welch is undefeated at 16-0 with a 56% KO rate but lacks Riakporhe's power and experience.
- No previous encounters between Riakporhe and Welch.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- Fight held in London at a major venue during a high-profile event, likely favoring the more experienced Riakporhe in handling pressure.
- Riakporhe aims to rebound from his only loss and solidify his heavyweight status; Welch seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and upset the favorite.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richard Riakporhe: -1600, Tommy Welch: +800 | Richard Riakporhe | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Riakporhe -2.5 rounds: -120, Welch +2.5 rounds: +100 | Riakporhe -2.5 rounds | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 rounds: +110, Under 7.5 rounds: -130 | Under 7.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richard Riakporhe -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Richard Riakporhe at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Richard Riakporhe to win by KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Riakporhe wins by KO in round 4