Match Analysis: Mark Dickinson vs Troy Williamson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rainton Meadows Arena, Houghton-le-Spring
Game Overview
Mark Dickinson (8-1, 2 KOs) faces Troy Williamson (20-4-1, 14 KOs) in a super middleweight final eliminator scheduled for 10 rounds. Dickinson holds a height and youth advantage and is skilled on points, while Williamson possesses significantly more experience and knockout power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dickinson's recent form shows promise with a strong record and younger age but limited experience (58 professional rounds). Williamson has a deeper professional background with 160 rounds and a higher knockout rate (70%) indicating heavy power and ring savvy.
- No direct head-to-head fights recorded between Dickinson and Williamson.
- No recent or notable injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
- The fight is on a high-profile undercard with broad broadcast coverage on DAZN, potentially increasing motivation and pressure on both fighters. Venue is neutral ground favoring no home advantage.
- Both fighters are motivated due to the bout being a final eliminator, offering significant career advancement. Dickinsonβs youth may drive hunger, while Williamsonβs experience may fuel confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mark Dickinson: -400, Troy Williamson: +300 | Mark Dickinson | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Mark Dickinson -1.5 rounds: -120, Troy Williamson +1.5 rounds: +100 | Mark Dickinson -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -385, Under 8.5 rounds: +285 | Under 8.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mark Dickinson -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 131% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 131% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mark Dickinson to win by decision (points)
Predicted Score: Mark Dickinson wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds