Match Analysis: Lourdes Juarez vs Jessica Nery – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Convention Center, South Padre Island, Texas
Game Overview
Lourdes Juarez and Jessica Nery Plata meet in a 10-round Jr Flyweight title bout. Juarez has a slightly larger professional record and more experience, but Nery is younger, taller, and favored on the moneyline.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juarez holds a 38-4 record with a 13% knockout rate, showing slightly more power and experience. Nery carries a 30-2 record with a 10% knockout rate and a recent strong form but fewer rounds fought.
- No direct recorded fights between Juarez and Nery, making the matchup a test of styles without historical outcome data.
- No current injury reports or fitness concerns for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- The fight takes place in a neutral venue in Texas, with no notable external environmental factors impacting either fighter.
- Both fighters compete for a WBC World Junior Flyweight title, indicating high motivation and stakes for this contest.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Jessica Nery: -250, Lourdes Juarez: 200 | Jessica Nery | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Jessica Nery -1.5: -115, Lourdes Juarez +1.5: -105 | Jessica Nery -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110 | Under 6.5 rounds | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Jessica Nery -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Jessica Nery at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jessica Nery Plata to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: Jessica Nery wins by late stoppage or decision around round 7