Match Analysis: Jack Catterall vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Game Overview
Jack Catterall (31-2, 13 KOs) faces Ekow Essuman (22-1, 8 KOs) in a 10-round welterweight contest. Catterall enters as the heavy favorite with superior record, experience, and knockout power. Essuman presents as an underdog with a solid record but facing a significantly stronger opponent in a hostile environment.
Key Factors to Consider
- Catterall demonstrates elite credentials with a 31-2 record and 42% knockout rate, showing both boxing skill and power. Essuman's 22-1 record with 36% KO rate is respectable but indicates a step down in competition level. Catterall's superior win-loss record and knockout percentage suggest clear technical and physical advantages.
- No prior matchup history. This is a fresh encounter with no direct comparative data, but Catterall's overall profile (31 wins vs 22 wins, higher KO %) suggests dominance potential.
- No reported injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy and ready for competition.
- Fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, potentially favoring Essuman with home-crowd support. However, Catterall's superior skill should overcome any crowd disadvantage. The 10-round format favors technical boxers, which suits Catterall's fighting style.
- Catterall seeks to maintain elite status and assert dominance. Essuman has significant motivation as an underdog fighting at home with a chance for a career-defining upset. Catterall's motivation appears more focused on performance validation than desperation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Catterall -225, Essuman +175 | Jack Catterall Moneyline | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | KO/TKO: Catterall +650, Essuman +750 | Decision (Under on Combined KO odds) | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jack Catterall -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Jack Catterall at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jack Catterall wins by decision. While Essuman's home advantage and height/reach superiority (3 inches each) provide some leverage, Catterall's superior experience, knockout power, and overall record make him the clear favorite. A competitive fight is expected, but Catterall's skill edge should prevail over 10 rounds.
Predicted Score: Jack Catterall wins by Unanimous Decision (98-92 or 97-93 scorecard) via technical boxing and consistent point accumulation rather than knockout.