Match Analysis: Ishmael Davis vs Caoimhin Agyarko – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Windsor Park, Belfast
Game Overview
A significant junior middleweight clash where Ishmael Davis, a pressure fighter with notable power and a recent strong gas tank, faces undefeated national-level amateur standout Caoimhin Agyarko, who relies on technical boxing skills and ring IQ.
Key Factors to Consider
- Davis has shown resilience by stepping in on short notice with strong late-round performance and 4 of last 5 wins by KO, indicating power and stamina; Agyarko is undefeated with 17-0 record, strong amateur pedigree, and a boxing style that favors rhythm and controlled pace.
- No previous direct encounters; styles contrast with Davis favoring physical aggression and Agyarko relying on tactical boxing.
- No public injury reports for either fighter; both appear fully fit.
- Fight at Windsor Park in Belfast favors Agyarko geographically though Davis has shown comfort fighting in hostile environments; media and community predictions lean heavily towards Davis by decision.
- Both fighters need a career-defining win; Davisβs motivation enhanced by recent near wins stepping up in class, Agyarko seeks to maintain perfect record and validate his amateur credentials in the pro ranks.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ishmael Davis -150, Caoimhin Agyarko +120 | Ishmael Davis | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 10.5 -375, Under 10.5 +275 | Under 10.5 rounds | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ishmael Davis -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 10.5 163% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 163% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Ishmael Davis to win; Spread: Ishmael Davis by -2 rounds; Over/Under: Under 10.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by TKO in round 9