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Erik Badillo vs. Gerardo Zapata Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erik Badillo vs Gerardo Zapata - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California, USA

Game Overview

This WBC light flyweight title eliminator features unbeaten Erik Badillo (17-0, 8 KOs) facing Gerardo Zapata (15-2-1, 5 KOs). Badillo is the WBC #2 ranked contender and favored in the matchup, while Zapata is ranked #8. The bout is scheduled for 12 rounds with the winner becoming the mandatory challenger for the WBC light flyweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Badillo remains undefeated and has shown strong recent form with a high KO ratio (8 KOs in 17 fights). Zapata has two losses and one draw with fewer knockouts, indicating slightly less finishing power.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Badillo and Zapata, making this a first-time encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight location in Fresno, CA provides neutral ground without a strong hometown advantage; both fighters highly motivated given the title eliminator stakes.
  • Both fighters highly motivated, but Badillo’s undefeated record and higher ranking suggest extra pressure and focus to maintain unbeaten status and secure a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erik Badillo: -700, Gerardo Zapata: +450 Erik Badillo ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Badillo -1.5 rounds: -150, Zapata +1.5 rounds: +130 Badillo -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erik Badillo -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Erik Badillo at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erik Badillo to win on the moneyline given his undefeated status, higher WBC ranking, and superior recent performance.

Predicted Score: Badillo wins by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage around Round 10

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Erik Badillo vs. Gerardo Zapata Prediction

Match Analysis: Erik Badillo vs Gerardo Zapata – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-12 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California, USA Game Overview This WBC light flyweight title eliminator features unbeaten Erik Badillo (17-0, 8 KOs) facing Gerardo Zapata (15-2-1, 5 KOs). Badillo is the WBC #2 ranked contender and favored in […]

Boxing Erik Badillo Gerardo Zapata July 13, 2025

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Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 11, 2025
  • Time: 1:34 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

This highly anticipated trilogy fight between Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano will be an all-women's boxing event at Madison Square Garden. The undisputed junior welterweight championship is on the line, with Taylor defending her titles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have delivered excellent performances in their previous encounters, with Taylor winning the first two fights. However, Serrano has been increasingly competitive, pushing for a more conventional 12-round format.
  • Taylor has won the first two fights, but controversies and close decisions suggest Serrano is a strong competitor. The rivalry is intense, with both fighters seeking to prove their superiority.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter.
  • The fight will proceed under standard women's boxing rules with 10 two-minute rounds. The event is promoted by Most Valuable Promotions, highlighting a strong commitment to women's boxing.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Serrano expressing a desire to prove herself and Taylor seeking to cement her legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -192 for Amanda Serrano, 162 for Katie Taylor Amanda Serrano High
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -900, Under 8.5 rounds: +550 Over 8.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amanda Serrano -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Amanda Serrano is favored to win, given her determination and the close nature of previous fights.

Predicted Score: N/A (boxing is not typically scored in a traditional manner)


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Alycia Baumgardner vs. Jennifer Miranda Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alycia Baumgardner vs Jennifer Miranda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, July 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Alycia Baumgardner, the favorite, faces Jennifer Miranda in a 10-round Super Featherweight bout. Baumgardner boasts a record of 15 wins and 1 loss with a significant knockout advantage, while Miranda is undefeated with 12 wins but only 1 knockout. The fight is part of a notable undercard featuring Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alycia Baumgardner has a strong record with a notable power advantage, while Jennifer Miranda remains undefeated but lacks significant knockout power.
  • No previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The prestige of fighting at Madison Square Garden might motivate both fighters, but Baumgardner's experience and power could provide an edge.
  • Both fighters are motivated given the high-profile nature of the event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -2500 for Alycia Baumgardner, +900 for Jennifer Miranda Alycia Baumgardner High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alycia Baumgardner -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Baumgardner's experience and power advantage, she is likely to win by knockout or a wide decision.

Predicted Score: Alycia Baumgardner by Knockout or Wide Decision


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Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ellie Scotney vs Yamileth Mercado – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Ellie Scotney (10-0-0) faces Yamileth Mercado (24-3-0) in a unification fight at super bantamweight for multiple world titles. The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds with both fighters orthodox, same age (27), but Mercado brings significantly more experience and knockout power. Scotney is undefeated but the underdog in this highly competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Scotney is undefeated with technical skill and has held multiple titles (IBF, IBO, WBO). Mercado has been a pro since 2014 with a strong record and WBC title, notable for KO power (21% KO rate vs Scotney's 0%). Both boxers have similar round experience (61), but Mercado has fought more pro fights (27 more).
  • No prior fights between Scotney and Mercado, making this their first head-to-head encounter. Both are elite champions meeting in a unification bout.
  • No reported injuries or concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is on a high-profile card at Madison Square Garden, New York, with significant audience attention as part of a major female boxing event. No travel or environmental disadvantages evident.
  • Both fighters highly motivated with multiple titles on the line. Scotney aims to maintain perfect record and unify belts, Mercado looks to assert power and experience to claim undisputed status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ellie Scotney: -1800, Yamileth Mercado: 800 Yamileth Mercado High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ellie Scotney -92%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Despite Scotney's undefeated record and height advantage, Mercado's superior experience, knockout power, and championship pedigree provide her the edge. The odds (-1800 Scotney, +800 Mercado) undervalue Mercado's potential impact in the fight. The value lies in backing Mercado on the moneyline and considering total rounds over given the expected competitiveness and Mercado's ability to deliver stoppages.

Predicted Score: Mercado wins via late-round TKO or unanimous decision, 7-9 rounds


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Tammara Thibeault vs. Mary Casamassa Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tammara Thibeault vs Mary Casamassa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

This boxing match features undefeated fighters Tammara Thibeault and Mary Casamassa, with Thibeault being the strong favorite due to her undefeated record and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tammara Thibeault remains undefeated with a strong record, while Mary Casamassa also holds an undefeated record but has fewer bouts. Thibeault's performance suggests she is the more formidable opponent.
  • There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two, making it difficult to assess their historical performance against each other.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is set at 160 pounds, a weight class both fighters are familiar with.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to maintain their undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -4000 for Tammara Thibeault, +1400 for Mary Casamassa Tammara Thibeault High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tammara Thibeault -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Tammara Thibeault is likely to win given her odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Tammara Thibeault win by decision or early stoppage.


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Savannah Marshall vs. Shadasia Green Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Savannah Marshall vs Shadasia Green – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, USA

Game Overview

The fight features IBF super-middleweight champion Savannah Marshall against WBO titlist Shadasia Green on the undercard of the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III event. Marshall is returning after a long layoff of almost three years, while Green has maintained more recent activity with fights approximately every six months. Both fighters are at the top of the super-middleweight division with Marshall holding multiple titles and an unbeaten record except for one loss, and Green being an experienced, powerful fighter with a 73% KO rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Savannah Marshall has fought infrequently over the last four years with an average of about one fight per 10 months, totaling 28 rounds in her last five fights. In contrast, Shadasia Green has been more active, fighting every five to six months on average, totaling 44 rounds in her last five bouts. Green's fights also tend to last longer, averaging 8.8 rounds compared to Marshall's 5.6, indicating greater recent ring experience and stamina.
  • There is no record of a previous fight between Savannah Marshall and Shadasia Green to directly compare their styles or outcomes.
  • There are no publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight being held at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue, and broadcast on Netflix in the US and UK adds high exposure and pressure. Marshall has recently signed promotional terms with MVP, aligning her with other top fighters, which might increase her motivation and support. The undercard positioning under a major fight may affect pacing and performance.
  • Marshall looks to re-establish herself as the world's best at 168lbs after a long absence from the ring, making this a critical comeback fight. Green, more active recently with consistent wins and a strong KO percentage, will be motivated to prove herself against a top-tier opponent and unify recognition at super middleweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Savannah Marshall: -650, Shadasia Green: +450 Savannah Marshall High
Spread Marshall -2.5 rounds Marshall to win by more than 2 rounds Moderate
Over/under Total rounds 7.5 Under 7.5 rounds Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Savannah Marshall -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Savannah Marshall at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Savannah Marshall is favored strongly due to her championship pedigree and power, despite the inactivity. Her technical skill and previous championship experience outweigh Green’s activity advantage. Expect Marshall to control the fight with disciplined power and ring IQ, likely winning by knockout or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Marshall wins by 7th round TKO


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Chantelle Cameron vs. Jessica Camara Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chantelle Cameron vs Jessica Camara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, USA

Game Overview

Chantelle Cameron defends her WBC interim super-lightweight title against Jessica Camara in a 10-round bout at Madison Square Garden on the undercard of Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano III. Cameron, a highly regarded boxer with a 20-1 record and 8 KOs, is coming off a resurgence after signing with MVP promotions and a new coach, Stephen Smith. Camara, with a 14-4-1 record and 3 KOs, is the underdog but brings experience to this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cameron has won 4 of her last 5 fights, including victories over top opponents and recent unanimous and majority decisions. She fights roughly every six months, maintaining competitive sharpness. Camara has fought less frequently, averaging a fight every 1 year and 4 months, with her last three fights spanning over four years and going nearly full distance on average.
  • No direct prior head-to-head bouts between Chantelle Cameron and Jessica Camara are recorded, making this a fresh matchup largely favoring Cameron due to superior record and recent higher-level opposition.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this contest.
  • Cameron's career momentum revived by her association with MVP and new coaching from Stephen Smith; she fights on the high-profile undercard at Madison Square Garden. No significant external distractions or issues reported for Camara.
  • Cameron is motivated to reclaim world champion status and feels reinvigorated with her new team setup following previous frustrations and near-retirement thoughts. Camara aims to capitalize on underdog status but lacks the same career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chantelle Cameron: -3000, Jessica Camara: 1100 Chantelle Cameron Very High
Spread Not explicitly provided; estimating -5.5 rounds in favor of Cameron Chantelle Cameron to win by 6+ rounds High
Over/under Not explicitly provided; fight averages near 10 rounds for Cameron and 9.3 for Camara Under 10 rounds Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chantelle Cameron -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Chantelle Cameron to win by unanimous decision or by stoppage late in the fight, leveraging her experience, recent form, and motivation to dominate Jessica Camara.

Predicted Score: Chantelle Cameron wins by unanimous decision, 97-93


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Ramla Ali vs. Lila Dos Santos Furtado Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ramla Ali vs Lila Dos Santos Furtado – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 11, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, USA

Game Overview

Ramla Ali and Lila Dos Santos Furtado will face off in an 8-round super bantamweight bout. Ramla Ali is favored due to her higher profile and more established record, with odds indicating a strong likelihood of her winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ramla Ali has a notable record of 9-2-0, which suggests a strong performance history compared to Lila Furtado. Ramla's experience and skill level are likely to influence the outcome.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available, making it difficult to assess how they match up against each other directly.
  • There is no reported injury information for either fighter, which could impact their performance.
  • The bout is at Madison Square Garden, which might favor Ramla Ali if she has more experience competing in high-pressure venues.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated to win, but Ramla Ali's higher profile may give her an edge in terms of focus and preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ramla Ali: -475, Lila Dos Santos Furtado: 330 Ramla Ali to win High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ramla Ali -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ramla Ali is expected to win based on her experience and odds favoring her.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for boxing


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Cherneka Johnson vs. Shurretta Metcalf Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cherneka Johnson vs Shurretta Metcalf – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, US

Game Overview

Cherneka Johnson challenges Shurretta Metcalf for the IB Bantamweight title with the vacant WBC and WBO bantamweight titles also on the line. The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds and takes place in a high-profile setting alongside the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano 3 card at Madison Square Garden. Johnson steps in as a late replacement, adding an interesting dynamic to the matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cherneka Johnson holds a record of 17-2 with 7 KOs and has maintained activity averaging a fight every 8 months, with recent fights lasting close to full distance (9.3 rounds average). Shurretta Metcalf, with a record of 14-4-1 and 2 KOs, is the reigning IB champion and was originally scheduled to face a different opponent but retained her readiness for this bout.
  • There is no documented previous head-to-head fight between Cherneka Johnson and Shurretta Metcalf, making this a fresh encounter without direct comparative data.
  • No reported injuries on either side leading up to the fight. Metcalf was originally to fight another opponent who withdrew due to pregnancy; Johnson stepped in without injury concerns reported.
  • The bout is held at Madison Square Garden, giving Metcalf some advantage as the defending champion on home soil. The fight is part of a strong all-female card gaining significant attention, potentially raising motivation and pressure on both fighters.
  • Metcalf aims to defend her IBF title and claim the vacant WBC and WBO belts, adding to her championship legacy. Johnson, as a late replacement, has a major opportunity to claim multiple titles, likely increasing her drive to capitalize on this chance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cherneka Johnson: -400, Shurretta Metcalf: 300 Cherneka Johnson to win High
Spread Johnson -1.5 rounds: -150, Metcalf +1.5 rounds: +130 Johnson to win by more than 1.5 rounds Medium-High
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -110, Under 8.5 rounds: -110 Over 8.5 rounds Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cherneka Johnson -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cherneka Johnson at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cherneka Johnson is favored to win by decision over 10 rounds due to her recent consistent activity, durability shown in longer fights, and strong technical skills. Metcalf is a solid champion but the betting line (-400 for Johnson) undervalues Johnson’s readiness and momentum entering this fight as a top contender.

Predicted Score: Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds


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Jack Catterall vs. Harlem Eubank Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jack Catterall vs Harlem Eubank – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: AO Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

The welterweight boxing match between Jack Catterall and Harlem Eubank is set for July 5, 2025 at the AO Arena in Manchester. Catterall (30-2, 13 KOs) aims to rebound from a recent split-decision loss and return to title contention, while the undefeated Eubank (21-0, 9 KOs) looks to extend his streak with a strong recent record including three stoppage wins in his last four fights. Both fighters bring contrasting styles with Catterall’s patient, timing-based southpaw approach against Eubank’s rising momentum and finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Catterall has a solid career with 30 wins and only 2 losses, showing precise left-hand accuracy but sometimes noted for excessive patience. Eubank remains undefeated with 21 wins and strong finishing ability, boasting three stoppage victories in recent fights. Eubank's momentum may provide an edge in confidence and aggressiveness.
  • This match marks their first meeting. Eubank’s undefeated status contrasts with Catterall’s experience and past title contention. No prior direct encounters to analyze.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight is on home soil for Catterall in Manchester, which could boost his motivation and crowd support. The bout is broadcast live on DAZN, adding prestige and pressure.
  • Catterall is motivated to bounce back from a narrow loss and reclaim championship status, while Eubank is motivated to maintain his undefeated record and capitalize on his recent stoppage streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jack Catterall: -315, Harlem Eubank: 240 Jack Catterall to win ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 10.5: -500, Under 10.5: 350 Under 10.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jack Catterall -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 179%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 179% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Eubank’s impressive undefeated run and finishing power, Catterall’s experience, tactical southpaw style, and home advantage suggest he has the edge to outpoint Eubank. A decision victory for Catterall is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Jack Catterall wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds


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