Match Analysis: David Stevens vs Petr Khamukov – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-20
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thunder Studios, Long Beach, California, USA
Game Overview
David Stevens, a 14-2 super middleweight contender known for his power with 10 KOs, faces the undefeated 13-0 Petr Khamukov, an accomplished former amateur with Olympic experience, in a 10-round main event. The fight is promoted by Paco Presents, Golden Boy Promotions, and Robert Garcia’s House of Champions and streamed live on DAZN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stevens has a strong professional record with solid knockout power, while Khamukov is undefeated with a high-level amateur pedigree, including 350 amateur bouts and Olympic experience. Khamukov's last fight was 13 months ago, but he remains a dangerous and technical fighter.
- No prior head-to-head bouts between Stevens and Khamukov; this is their first meeting, making analysis reliant on their styles and records.
- No current injury reports for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Khamukov recently signed with 3 Point Management, potentially improving his fight opportunities. Fighting in Long Beach, California, provides Khamukov some home advantage, while Stevens travels from Pennsylvania.
- Khamukov aims to maintain his undefeated status and capitalize on recent managerial support; Stevens seeks to assert himself against an undefeated opponent to boost his contender status.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | David Stevens: -180, Petr Khamukov: 150 | David Stevens to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | David Stevens -1.5: -110, Petr Khamukov +1.5: -110 | David Stevens -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -225, Under 8.5: 175 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | David Stevens 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 90% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 90% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested fight with slight edge to David Stevens due to more recent activity and power, but Khamukov’s technical skills and undefeated streak make it a competitive matchup.
Predicted Score: David Stevens wins by decision or late-round stoppage, likely between rounds 8 and 10