Match Analysis: Bradley Rea vs Lyndon Arthur – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Manchester's Co-op Live Arena
Game Overview
British light heavyweight title fight between Bradley Rea, a younger aggressive pressure fighter (21-1), and Lyndon Arthur, an experienced counterpuncher with reach advantage (24-3). Rea is coming off a unanimous decision win, while Arthur lost his last bout also by unanimous decision.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rea is in strong recent form with a win on June 28, 2025, showing high volume and pressure fighting. Arthur, older at 34, lost to Anthony Yarde in April 2025 by unanimous decision, indicating some vulnerability but substantial experience.
- No direct head-to-head past fights. Community and expert predictions favor Arthur to win by decision or KO based on style mismatch and reach advantage, but bookmakers and odds slightly favor Rea.
- No reported injuries to either fighter, both expected to be in full health.
- Fight held in Manchester, neutral ground favoring neither strongly. Streaming available globally indicating high profile bout without disruptive externalities.
- Both fighters motivated, with Rea aiming to solidify his rising status and Arthur seeking to reclaim stature after recent loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Rea -165 / Lyndon Arthur +128 | Bradley Rea | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Rea -1.5 rounds at -175 approx | Rea -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 10.5 rounds -450 / Under 10.5 rounds +313 | Under 10.5 rounds | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Rea -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 10.5 197% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 197% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Bradley Rea win; Spread: Bradley Rea -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 10.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Bradley Rea wins by unanimous decision in 10 rounds