Match Analysis: Žalgiris vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Žalgirio Arena, Kaunas, Lithuania
Game Overview
This EuroLeague matchup features Žalgiris Kaunas hosting Virtus Segafredo Bologna, two closely matched teams with strong histories. Žalgiris shows slightly better recent form and advantages in head-to-head clashes, making them the favorites at home in a high-stakes contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Žalgiris holds a 7-3 record compared to Bologna's 6-4 in EuroLeague play, reflecting stronger current form and consistency. Žalgiris' defense and home advantage have contributed to solid performances.
- In recent meetings, Žalgiris has won all their last 5 games against Virtus Bologna, including the two most recent matchups in 2025 with competitive but clear margins of victory.
- No significant injury reports or absences for either team have been noted close to the game, indicating near full-strength squads.
- The game is played at Žalgirio Arena, a strong home venue with a capacity of 15,688, favoring the home side with robust crowd support.
- Žalgiris aims to consolidate early season momentum and maintain top positioning in the EuroLeague standings, while Virtus looks to prove resilience on the road and keep pace against strong competitors.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Žalgiris -220, Virtus +175 | Žalgiris | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Žalgiris -5.5 (-110), Virtus +5.5 (-115) | Žalgiris -5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5 (-110), Under 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Žalgiris -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Žalgiris to win. Spread: Žalgiris -5.5. Over/Under: Under 163.5 points.
Predicted Score: Žalgiris 82 – Virtus 75