Match Analysis: Yale Bulldogs vs Stony Brook Seawolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: John J. Lee Amphitheater, New Haven, CT
Game Overview
The Yale Bulldogs, undefeated at 2-0 this season and favored by a large margin, face the Stony Brook Seawolves who are 3-0. Yale has demonstrated strong offensive performances averaging near 97 points in recent games, while Stony Brook has shown resilience but is the clear underdog. The game total is set high at 150.5 points, reflecting expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yale has dominated recent games with two significant wins by large margins, showing consistent scoring over 95 points per game and successful covers against the spread. Stony Brook remains unbeaten but has yet to face top-level competition similar to Yale's. Yale's strong offense versus Stony Brook's defense will be critical.
- Yale leads the recent encounters 2-0, including an 86-64 away win last year and a 79-71 home win. Historically, Yale has generally outperformed Stony Brook with average margins around 15 points, also covering spreads comfortably. Most recent games have gone over the projected totals.
- No reported injuries for either team that significantly impact the starting lineups or key contributors at this time.
- The game is hosted at Yale's home venue, giving them a home-court advantage. Public betting heavily favors Yale with about 84% of bets and money invested, indicating strong confidence from the crowd and sharps. No weather or travel disruptions are noted.
- Yale aims to maintain their unbeaten record in front of home fans and reinforce their status as a dominant team early in the season. Stony Brook seeks to prove they can compete with elite-level teams and extend their own unbeaten streak, but motivation may be tempered by the presumed mismatch.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -3600, away: 1500 | Yale Bulldogs | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | home: -20.5 -105, away: +20.5 -115 | Yale Bulldogs to cover -20.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 150.5 -110, under: 150.5 -110 | Over 150.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale Bulldogs -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yale Bulldogs are predicted to win comfortably, likely covering the large spread due to superior offensive output and home advantage. The total points are expected to exceed 150.5 given Yale's high scoring and recent trends of over results.
Predicted Score: Yale Bulldogs 88 – Stony Brook Seawolves 68