Match Analysis: Yale Bulldogs vs Rhode Island Rams – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 19, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: John J. Lee Amphitheater, New Haven, CT
Game Overview
Yale Bulldogs host the Rhode Island Rams in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Yale enters as the heavy favorite with a 3-0 record and dominant offensive efficiency (93.3 PPG, 1.306 offensive rating), while Rhode Island comes in at 3-1 with a more defensive-oriented approach. This game features a significant talent and efficiency disparity, with Yale's balanced attack and strong defensive metrics positioning them as clear favorites in their home arena.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yale has been exceptional to start the season, winning all three games and demonstrating offensive firepower with 93.3 points per game and a 62.4% effective field goal percentage. Their defensive efficiency is solid at 0.965. Rhode Island, while 3-1, scores significantly fewer points (79.5 PPG) with lower offensive efficiency (1.115) and a 52.4% effective FG%. However, Rhode Island's defense is respectable with a 0.918 defensive efficiency and strong turnover creation at 21.5% opp turnovers/play. Yale's average score margin of +24.3 demonstrates their dominance, compared to Rhode Island's +14.0.
- No recent head-to-head data available in the provided search results. Historical context shows Yale has been competitive in recent matchups, though specific trends against Rhode Island are not detailed.
- No injury information available in the provided search results. Notable: Yale is led by Fox, who recently had a 21-point performance against Rhode Island.
- Yale plays in their home arena (John J. Lee Amphitheater), which provides a significant advantage. Yale has shown success in home games with over performances in recent contests. The game tips off at an unusual 1:00 AM UTC time (8:00 PM ET), which is a standard evening start for the home team.
- Yale aims to maintain their perfect 3-0 start and continue building momentum early in the season. Rhode Island seeks to prove they can compete against stronger programs and avoid falling to 3-2. Yale's recent 97-68 victory over Navy and strong performance metrics suggest they are focused on establishing themselves as a tournament-caliber team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale -375 / Rhode Island +295 | Yale Bulldogs Win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Yale -8.5 (-112) / Rhode Island +8.5 (-108) | Yale Bulldogs -8.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 155.5 (-105) / Under 155.5 (-115) | Over 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale Bulldogs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 155.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 155.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yale Bulldogs are heavily favored and should win this matchup convincingly. Their superior offensive efficiency, balanced scoring attack, and defensive prowess create a significant mismatch against Rhode Island. The home court advantage, combined with Yale's 3-0 start and dominance in key statistical categories, makes them the clear winner. Rhode Island's defensive strength may limit the total somewhat, but Yale's offensive firepower should overcome any resistance.
Predicted Score: Yale 88, Rhode Island 74 (Yale wins by 14)