Match Analysis: Yale Bulldogs vs Green Bay Phoenix – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Eldridge Wilburn Blake Center, Charlotte Amalie West, Saint Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands
Game Overview
The Yale Bulldogs host the Green Bay Phoenix at the Eldridge Wilburn Blake Center as part of the 2025 Paradise Jam tournament. Yale enters as a strong favorite with a superior overall record and Ivy League championship pedigree, whereas Green Bay struggles with defensive weaknesses and a poor record from last season. The game is expected to be dominated by Yale both in pace and scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yale is 3-1 this season, showing strong play with good size and experience; Green Bay is 1-4, struggling defensively and overall, allowing over 85 points per game and ranking low nationally in team height. Yale's defense and balanced offense contrast with Green Bay's defensive vulnerabilities and undersized roster.
- This is the first meeting between Yale Bulldogs and Green Bay Phoenix.
- No specific injuries reported affecting either team as of the latest information.
- The neutral site at Saint Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands reduces traditional home-court advantage; Yale's recent better adaptation to neutral site play (4-2 last season) may give them an edge.
- Yale aims to assert dominance early in the Paradise Jam to confirm their status as Ivy League champions and top contenders; Green Bay seeks to improve on a poor start and build confidence after consecutive losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Green Bay Phoenix: +1100, Yale Bulldogs: -2100 | Yale Bulldogs | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Green Bay Phoenix: +16.5 -112, Yale Bulldogs: -16.5 -108 | Yale Bulldogs -16.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 152.5 -110, Under: 152.5 -110 | Under 152.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale Bulldogs -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yale Bulldogs to win convincingly, covering the spread of -16.5 with a final score expected around Yale 87, Green Bay 65.
Predicted Score: Yale Bulldogs 87 – Green Bay Phoenix 65