Match Analysis: Xavier Musketeers vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Xavier University (Home)
Game Overview
The NCAA basketball match between the Xavier Musketeers and Old Dominion Monarchs features Xavier as a heavy favorite, playing at home. Xavier's recent form includes losses (81-62, 60-68) which may indicate some vulnerabilities, whereas Old Dominion has mixed results but has shown scoring ability with multiple games scoring over 130 points recently. The game is expected to be competitive but with Xavier leading.
Key Factors to Consider
- Xavier Musketeers have struggled recently with key defeats, scoring in the 60s consistently. Old Dominion Monarchs have a potent offense, scoring over 130 points in 62% of their last 8 games and often putting up strong first-half performances.
- Limited recent history, but past games show tight scores with Xavier having a slight edge historically. Head-to-head matchups are scarce in recent years, with no recent wins for Xavier noted against Old Dominion since 2010.
- No specific injury updates available from current data.
- Home court advantage strongly favors Xavier. Betting odds heavily favor Xavier, reflecting expert consensus. No weather or other external issues affect indoor basketball.
- Xavier seeks to recover from recent losses and establish dominance at home early in the season. Old Dominion aims to continue their strong offensive run and prove competitive on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Xavier Musketeers: -500, Old Dominion Monarchs: 380 | Xavier Musketeers win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Xavier Musketeers: -10.5 -102, Old Dominion Monarchs: +10.5 -118 | Xavier Musketeers to cover -10.5 spread | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -108, Under: 150.5 -112 | Under 150.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Xavier Musketeers -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Xavier Musketeers to win the game, covering the spread while the total points are likely to stay around the projected line, favoring a moderately paced scoring game close to the over/under set.
Predicted Score: Xavier Musketeers 78 – 65 Old Dominion Monarchs