Match Analysis: Wyoming Cowboys vs Portland Pilots – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Arena-Auditorium, Laramie, WY
Game Overview
This is a non-conference matchup between two undefeated teams, the Wyoming Cowboys (3-0) and the Portland Pilots (3-0), both averaging 90 points per game. Wyoming is playing its fourth consecutive home game, while Portland is facing its first true road test. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing strong offensive production and similar defensive metrics. The betting market favors Wyoming at home, with a spread of -9.5 and moneyline odds reflecting their status as clear favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are 3-0, with Portland averaging 90.0 points per game (48.0% FG, 30.3% 3PT, 72.9% FT) and Wyoming averaging 90.0 points per game (47.7% FG, 25.3% 3PT allowed, 62.5% FT). Portland commits 20.0 fouls per game and averages 42.7 rebounds, while Wyoming commits 21.3 fouls and averages 45.0 rebounds. Wyoming has a strong home record, winning 14 of its last 15 night games against non-conference opponents at Arena-Auditorium. Portland has lost its last six road night games against non-conference opponents.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup.
- Portland has two key players listed as injured: Parker (Foot) and Briggs (Knee). Their absence could impact Portland's backcourt depth and defensive intensity.
- Wyoming's home-court advantage at Arena-Auditorium is significant, especially in night games against non-conference opponents. Portland is playing its first road game of the season, which could affect their performance. The public betting percentage heavily favors Wyoming, with 85.7% of bets and 85.7% of money on the Cowboys.
- Both teams are motivated to maintain their undefeated records. Wyoming aims to continue its strong home dominance, while Portland seeks to prove itself in a challenging road environment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland Pilots: 400, Wyoming Cowboys: -550 | Wyoming Cowboys | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Portland Pilots: 9.5 -110, Wyoming Cowboys: -9.5 -110 | Wyoming Cowboys -9.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 162.5 -115, Under: 162.5 -105 | Over 162.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wyoming Cowboys -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 162.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 162.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wyoming is favored to win this game due to their home-court advantage, strong recent performance in night games, and Portland's struggles in similar situations. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams averaging 90 points per game and showing efficient shooting. The total is likely to go over 162.5 points.
Predicted Score: Wyoming Cowboys 92, Portland Pilots 88