Match Analysis: Wofford Terriers vs North Florida Ospreys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 19, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium, Wofford
Game Overview
The Wofford Terriers (2-2) host the North Florida Ospreys (1-2) in a non-conference NCAA Division I Men's Basketball matchup. Wofford enters as a clear favorite, having won their last game against Bellarmine 94-86, while North Florida is looking to improve on a disappointing 1-2 start to the season. This matchup features a home team with defensive vulnerabilities facing an away team struggling offensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wofford averages 72.0 points per game with 42.0% field goal shooting (300th nationally) and 76.5% free throw shooting. Defensively, they rank 308th in PPG allowed (81.3) and allow 48.0% from the field (330th nationally). North Florida averages 84.0 PPG (128th nationally) with 42.9% field goal shooting, 30.0% from three, and 69.2% from free throw. Despite better offensive output, North Florida's 1-2 record indicates inconsistency. Wofford's 2-2 record reflects their defensive struggles, allowing opponents to shoot efficiently.
- No historical head-to-head data is available in the search results for these two programs.
- No injury information is provided in the available data.
- The game is played at Wofford's home venue, providing a significant home court advantage. Wofford's recent momentum from defeating Bellarmine provides psychological confidence, while North Florida is searching for consistency after their early-season struggles.
- Wofford seeks to maintain winning form and improve their defensive efficiency at home. North Florida needs a road victory to salvage their early season and build confidence going forward. The away team faces significant pressure with a 1-2 record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wofford -420 / North Florida +310 | Wofford Terriers Win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Wofford -8.5 (-106) / North Florida +8.5 (-114) | Wofford Terriers -8.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 161.5 (-106) / Under 161.5 (-118) | Over 161.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wofford Terriers 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 161.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 161.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wofford Terriers are favored to win this matchup convincingly. While North Florida possesses a slight offensive advantage in scoring output, Wofford's home court advantage, recent victory, and superior free throw shooting give them the edge. However, Wofford's poor defensive ranking (308th) could allow North Florida to remain competitive. The game should be decided by Wofford's execution at home and their ability to limit North Florida's scoring despite defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Wofford 82, North Florida 71