Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Northern Illinois Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Wisconsin Badgers (1-0) host the Northern Illinois Huskies (1-0) in a Big Ten vs. Mid-American Conference matchup. Both teams have started the season with a win, the Huskies defeating Louisiana-Monroe 102-82 and the Badgers beating Campbell 96-64. Wisconsin is heavily favored with dominant recent performances and significantly stronger stats overall heading into this non-conference early season game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wisconsin ranks 13th in adjusted offensive efficiency with 122.9 points per 100 possessions and has shown a shift towards a higher-paced game. Northern Illinois plays a quicker style but is less efficient, ranking 92nd in adjusted tempo with 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes. Wisconsin's defense and offense both outmatch Northern Illinois' based on last season and recent performance.
- No recent head-to-head data was found, but Wisconsin has dominated similar matchups in past seasons and is highly favored.
- No specific injury reports were noted for either team for this game.
- Wisconsin plays at home in the Kohl Center which has shown to be a strong environment for coverage of spreads. Wisconsin has a 78% public bet backing, indicating heavy betting confidence from the public.
- Both teams enter 1-0 and will look to build early momentum, but Wisconsin as a ranked team (#24) and home favorite is likely highly motivated to establish dominance early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Illinois Huskies: 4000, Wisconsin Badgers: -30000 | Wisconsin Badgers | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Northern Illinois Huskies: +27.5 -110, Wisconsin Badgers: -27.5 -110 | Wisconsin Badgers to cover -27.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5 -110, Under: 156.5 -110 | Over 156.5 points | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wisconsin Badgers -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wisconsin is predicted to win this game comfortably with a high-confidence expectation of covering the large spread, supported by strong recent team performance and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Wisconsin Badgers 98 – Northern Illinois Huskies 68