Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Wisconsin Badgers, ranked No. 24, host the Ball State Cardinals in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Wisconsin is an overwhelming favorite both on the moneyline and against the spread. The total points line is set at 153.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams start the season undefeated (2-0). Wisconsin is averaging 96.5 points per game with strong home performances, while Ball State scores around 79.5 points per game but recently has lost all four road games.
- No recent direct matchups; Wisconsin holds a dominant home record against non-conference opponents with 14 straight home wins and first half leads.
- No significant injury reports impacting either team noted.
- Game played at Wisconsin's Kohl Center, enhancing the Badgers' home-court advantage. The large point spread and moneyline imply sportsbooks view this as a near-certain Wisconsin win.
- Wisconsin seeks to maintain dominance and momentum as a ranked team early in the season. Ball State aims for confidence building but likely lacks the depth to challenge Wisconsin at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wisconsin -10000, Ball State +3000 | Wisconsin | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Wisconsin -25.5 (-115), Ball State +25.5 (-105) | Wisconsin -25.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 153.5 (-110), Under 153.5 (-110) | Under 153.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wisconsin Badgers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wisconsin Badgers to win moneyline and cover the large spread; game to finish under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Wisconsin Badgers 83 – Ball State Cardinals 56