Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Tennessee St Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: E. A. Diddle Arena, Bowling Green
Game Overview
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers host Tennessee State Tigers in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Western Kentucky enters with a perfect 2-0 record, while Tennessee State is 2-1. The Hilltoppers are strong favorites, with a recent head-to-head win and superior offensive and defensive metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Western Kentucky averages 84.5 PPG, shooting 43.9% from the field and 73% from the line. Tennessee State averages 98 PPG but has allowed 71 PPG, with a recent loss. Western Kentucky has shown defensive consistency and offensive efficiency.
- Western Kentucky won the last meeting 84-60. The Hilltoppers have a clear edge in recent H2H matchups, with dominant scoring and rebounding.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Western Kentucky is at home, with a strong home record and crowd support. The game is played at a high tempo, but both teams have shown the ability to control pace.
- Western Kentucky is motivated to maintain a perfect record and build momentum. Tennessee State is looking to bounce back from a recent loss and prove themselves against a higher-level opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -600 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | -10.5 -115 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -10.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | 168.5 -110 | Under 168.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 168.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 168.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win outright, cover the spread, and the game to go under the total.
Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 82, Tennessee State 78