Match Analysis: Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall
Game Overview
The Western Illinois Leathernecks host the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a college basketball matchup. Coastal Carolina has a stronger recent form and is favored by most betting markets. The game is expected to be competitive, with promising offensive output from both sides as indicated by predicted high scoring totals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Coastal Carolina enters with a 2-2 record, showing balanced offense and defense, while Western Illinois is struggling with a 1-4 record but has shown some ability against the spread and on the road. Coastal Carolina has scored 331 points and allowed 260, whereas Western Illinois scored 324 but allowed 363, indicating defensive issues for Western.
- Recent data does not indicate frequent direct matchups, but simulations favor Coastal Carolina with a 65% winning probability over Western Illinois' 35%.
- No specific injury information is available from current data sources for either team
- Western Illinois has home-court advantage, potentially boosting their performance. Coastal Carolina is playing away but has shown stronger recent form.
- Coastal Carolina aims to improve from a split start and build momentum, while Western Illinois looks to use home advantage to break their losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | coastal_carolina: -148, western_illinois: 124 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | coastal_carolina: -3.5 -105, western_illinois: +3.5 -115 | Coastal Carolina to cover -3.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over: 137.5 -108, under: 137.5 -112 | Over 137.5 points total | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 137.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 137.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are favored to win with an estimated 64-65% probability due to better overall team performance, defense, and consistency. The game is expected to be competitive but with Coastal Carolina narrowly edging Western Illinois.
Predicted Score: Coastal Carolina 70 – 67 Western Illinois