Match Analysis: West Georgia Wolves vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: The Coliseum, Carrollton, GA
Game Overview
The game features the West Georgia Wolves hosting The Citadel Bulldogs, both with 1-2 season records. West Georgia has struggled recently with 10 losses in their last 13 games and poor defensive showings, while The Citadel has similarly underperformed against non-ranked opponents and holds a 1-2 record. Both teams have close scoring averages, but Wolves score higher offensively whereas Bulldogs defend better.
Key Factors to Consider
- West Georgia averages 78.3 points per game but concedes 84 points on 44.3% shooting. The Citadel averages 59.5 points and allows 58.5 points on 45.9% shooting. Wolves rely on Shelton Williams-Dryden (16.3 ppg) and Josh Smith (12.3 ppg), while The Citadel's top scorer is Christian Moore with 15.3 ppg. Wolves shoot better from beyond the arc (39.7%) and on free throws (63.6%).
- Recent direct matchups are not detailed in the available data. Both teams have similar records and performance levels, suggesting a competitive game with no clear historical dominance.
- No specific injury information is provided in the data for either team ahead of this match.
- Home-court advantage favors West Georgia playing at The Coliseum in Carrollton, GA. Public betting is evenly split between both teams. West Georgiaβs recent poor road performance (1-1 ATS) and The Citadelβs struggles against non-ranked opponents could influence outcomes.
- West Georgia is motivated to break their losing streak and improve defensive woes. The Citadel looks to capitalize on Wolfβs inconsistencies and secure a confidence-boosting road win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Georgia Wolves: -205, The Citadel Bulldogs: 170 | West Georgia Wolves to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | West Georgia Wolves: -5.5 -105, The Citadel Bulldogs: +5.5 -115 | West Georgia Wolves to cover the -5.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 148.5 -110, Under: 148.5 -110 | Under 148.5 total points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Georgia Wolves -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 148.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
West Georgia Wolves are favored to win due to better offensive weapons, a home venue advantage, and slightly stronger shooting percentages, despite overall poor recent form. The Citadel is expected to keep the game competitive but lack firepower to pull an upset.
Predicted Score: West Georgia Wolves 76 – 68 The Citadel Bulldogs