Match Analysis: Washington St Cougars vs Washington Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Beasley Coliseum, Pullman, WA
Game Overview
The Washington Huskies (2-1) visit the Washington St Cougars (1-2) in a high-stakes Apple Cup rivalry game. Washington has shown stronger early-season form with solid defense allowing only 66.0 PPG compared to Washington State's inconsistent offense averaging 77.0 PPG. Washington St relies heavily on rebounds and physical play, while Washington emphasizes shot creation and limiting turnovers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington Huskies have a better overall record (2-1) and defensive efficiency (66 PPG allowed) compared to Washington St Cougars who are 1-2 and shoot 45.2% but have a lower assist rate. Huskies players are better at forcing turnovers (12.7 per game) and controlling fouls. The Cougars are better on offensive rebounds but more turnover prone.
- Recently, Washington Huskies won the last matchup on 18 Dec 2024 (89-73). Historically, Washington State has had home advantage but Huskies have dominated recent contests.
- No significant injury reports found for either team for this game, indicating both teams should be near full strength.
- The game is played at Beasley Coliseum, home of Washington State, which has contributed to their strong home winning record in rivalry games. The Huskies have lost their last four road games and tend to struggle in first halves on the road.
- Rivalry intensity is very high; Washington Huskies aim to prove dominance with early season momentum, while Cougars look to leverage home crowd and physical style to bounce back after a slow start.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Huskies: -430, Washington St Cougars: 330 | Washington Huskies moneyline win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Washington Huskies: -8.5 -105, Washington St Cougars: +8.5 -115 | Washington Huskies to cover the -8.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 160.5 -110, Under: 160.5 -110 | Under 160.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Huskies -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington Huskies are favored to win due to stronger defensive performance, better road experience, and superior turnover management. However, the home advantage for Washington State and rivalry stakes suggest a moderately tight game. Expect Washington to cover a moderate spread and for total points to stay slightly below the over/under line due to slower possession pace.
Predicted Score: Washington Huskies 74 – Washington St Cougars 67