Match Analysis: Washington St Cougars vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Beasley Coliseum, Pullman
Game Overview
The Washington State Cougars (0-2) host the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (1-1) in an NCAA basketball matchup. Washington State has started the season with losses and are the home favorite with a -150 moneyline. St. Thomas comes off a recent win and is expected to give a tough challenge, with the spread currently at +2.5 in their favor. The over/under is set at 160.5 points, reflecting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.[1][2][4]
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington State has started 0-2 overall and against the spread, including a road loss and a home loss with totals trending over in recent games. St. Thomas is 1-1, having won their last game decisively at home and is showing competitive offensive ability despite a slight negative point differential overall.[1][2]
- No recent head-to-head data is available for these teams, indicating this might be their first notable matchup or limited recent encounters.[3]
- There are no reported injuries for either team affecting this game, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.[3]
- The entire betting public leans heavily towards Washington State, with 100% of bets placed on the Cougars despite their poor start, indicating strong home support and potential public confidence.[1]
- Washington State seeks to avoid an 0-3 start and prove their home court strength, while St. Thomas aims to continue their rebound from an earlier loss and capitalize on Washington Stateβs early struggles to build momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -150, away: 125 | Washington State win | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | home: -2.5 at -106, away: +2.5 at -114 | St. Thomas to cover +2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | over: 160.5 at -114, under: 160.5 at -106 | Over 160.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington St Cougars 35% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 160.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Washington St Cougars at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington State is favored narrowly to win given home advantage and betting market odds, but St. Thomas is expected to keep the game close and cover the +2.5 spread. A moderately high scoring game pushing towards the over 160.5 total points is also likely based on recent scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Washington State Cougars 82 – St. Thomas (MN) Tommies 79