Match Analysis: Washington Huskies vs Denver Pioneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Alaska Airlines Arena at Hec Edmundson Pavilion
Game Overview
The Washington Huskies (1-0) host the Denver Pioneers (0-1) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Washington enters as a massive favorite, reflected by the opening odds, while Denver looks to pull off a historic upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington is 1-0 so far in the season and has historically handled mid-major opponents at home. Denver is 0-1, and while they were a respectable 16-14 ATS last season, they are still rebuilding and lack the high-major talent of Washington. Washington averaged more than 155 points in eight games last season, but combined with Denver, their average was 144 points, suggesting a possible under trend for this game[2].
- Head-to-head data for basketball between these programs is not well-documented or historically significant. There are no recent or notable basketball meetings between Washington and Denver in the available records.
- No injury reports are available for either team at this time. Washingtonβs starting lineup and rotation appear intact based on early season performance.
- Washington enjoys a strong home-court advantage at Hec Ed, which is typically difficult for visiting mid-majors. No travel issues are reported; both teams are well-acclimated to the time zone.
- Washington will be motivated to maintain their momentum and avoid a letdown against a lower-tier opponent. Denver is playing with little to lose, but the talent gap is significant, and an upset is extremely unlikely.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Pioneers: +3500, Washington Huskies: -20000 | Washington Huskies win | β β β β β 100% |
| Spread | Denver Pioneers: +27.5 (-108), Washington Huskies: -27.5 (-112) | Denver Pioneers cover (+27.5) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 (-110), Under: 154.5 (-110) | Under 154.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Huskies 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington is expected to dominate Denver, likely by a large margin. The implied score from betting markets is Washington 92, Denver 64, and Washington has a 99.7% implied probability to win based on the moneyline odds[2]. The over/under market suggests a combined score near 155, but recent history between the two indicates a possible under as their combined average last season was only 144[2].
Predicted Score: Washington 81, Denver 70[2]