Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Baha Mar Convention Center
Game Overview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons face Texas Tech Red Raiders in a highly anticipated NCAA college basketball matchup. Both teams enter with 3-1 records, but Texas Tech is favored due to their stronger defensive metrics and recent form. The game will be played at a neutral venue, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Tech has shown a strong defensive presence, holding opponents to 41.7% shooting and 28.8% from three-point range. They also dominate the glass with a rebounding margin of 38.5 per game. Wake Forest, while capable of pushing the tempo, struggles with turnovers (averaging 10.8 per game) and ranks poorly in assists (330th in college basketball). Their perimeter defense is solid, limiting opponents to 23% from three, but their overall offensive efficiency is inconsistent.
- There is no recent head-to-head data available for this specific matchup, as these teams have not faced each other in the past few seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
- The game is being played at a neutral venue, which could impact team performance. Both teams have shown the ability to control tempo and limit scoring opportunities, which may influence the final score and betting outcomes.
- Both teams are motivated to secure a strong start to their season. Texas Tech aims to build on their defensive reputation, while Wake Forest looks to improve their offensive efficiency and reduce turnovers.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas Tech Red Raiders: -425, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 330 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | β β β β β 80% |
| Spread | Texas Tech Red Raiders: -8.5 -110, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 8.5 -110 | Texas Tech Red Raiders -8.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 158.5 -105, Under: 158.5 -115 | Under 158.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas Tech Red Raiders -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Tech is favored to win this game due to their superior defensive metrics and recent form. The predicted final score is 74-83 in favor of Texas Tech, with a high probability of the game staying under the over/under line of 158.5 points.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest 74 – Texas Tech 83