Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Morehead St Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Wake Forest (Home)
Game Overview
Season opener for both teams. Wake Forest, a major conference team, is a massive favorite against mid-major Morehead State. Both teams enter 1-0, but Wake Forest's recent form and home dominance suggest a lopsided contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest is 62-10 in last 72 home games and 19-3 SU as a favorite in last 22 such games. Morehead State won a narrow home game over a lesser opponent, while Wake Forest handled a similar foe more convincingly.
- No recent H2H data available. Wake Forest's superior conference and historical home performance are key indicators.
- No reported injuries for either team.
- Venue favors Wake Forest heavily. No notable external factors reported.
- Wake Forest is expected to dominate and avoid an embarrassing loss to a mid-major. Morehead State is a clear underdog with little to lose, but unlikely to pull the upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest -4500, Morehead State +1600 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons ML | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Wake Forest -19.5 -120, Morehead State +19.5 -102 | Wake Forest -19.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5 -110, Under 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest dominates at home, covering the large spread in a lower-scoring game than the bookmakers expect.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest 78, Morehead State 56