Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Morehead St Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Winston-Salem, NC
Game Overview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons and Morehead State Eagles both enter the matchup undefeated (1-0). Wake Forest won their opener 88-74 displaying a balanced attack with strong shooting percentages and rebounding, while Morehead State earned a close 89-84 victory over Midway, highlighted by efficient shooting (60.7% FG) but lower free throw conversion. The game is hosted at Wake Forest's home venue, giving them a significant advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest demonstrated strong shooting efficiency (47.7% FG, 79.2% FT) and defensive presence with 38 rebounds and 20 assists in their first game. Morehead State showed impressive field goal accuracy (60.7%) and decent rebounding (27 total) but struggled more at free throws (64.0%). Wake Forest's depth and home court advantage likely enhance their performance edge.
- No recent publicly available detailed head-to-head records for this matchup exist from these sources. However, Wake Forest is a higher-profile ACC team while Morehead State is from a smaller conference, indicating a historical edge in quality for Wake Forest.
- Wake Forest has no significant injury reports listed. Morehead State reportedly has an ankle injury concern for player Schwieger, which may impact their rotation and defensive effectiveness.
- The game is played in Winston-Salem, NC, giving Wake Forest home-court advantage. The public betting heavily favors Wake Forest (96% of bets), reflecting strong confidence from bettors in the home team.
- Both teams are coming off season-opening wins and motivated to continue undefeated starts. Wake Forest, as a Power 5 school, has greater incentive to assert conference dominance early and validate pre-season expectations. Morehead State aims to prove competitive capability on a bigger stage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Morehead St Eagles: 1600, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: -4500 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Morehead St Eagles: -19.5 at -102, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: +19.5 at -120 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons to cover -19.5 spread | β β β β β 88% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5: -110, Under 147.5: -110 | Under 147.5 points total | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons are heavily favored to win due to superior team depth, shooting efficiency, home-court advantage, and overall stronger program profile. Expected to cover the large spread and hold total points under the bookmakers' lines, due to defensive discipline and pace control.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 81 – Morehead St Eagles 61