Match Analysis: Virtus Segafredo Bologna vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: PalaDozza, Bologna
Game Overview
This Euroleague matchup features Virtus Segafredo Bologna hosting AS Monaco. Both teams enter the game with strong recent form, each holding 5 wins in their last 10 matches, making this a potentially tight contest. Monaco is favored by bookmakers as the moneyline favorite, despite playing away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams show excellent recent form (5 wins in last 10 games). Monaco has a slight edge in consistency and offensive efficiency, while Bologna plays strong defense at home.
- Historically, Monaco has had the upper hand in recent encounters against Bologna, with more wins and better scoring margins in previous Euroleague meetings.
- No major injury reports currently available for key players on either side, suggesting full-strength lineups.
- Home court advantage favors Bologna at PalaDozza, known for a strong crowd presence and defensive intensity, potentially disrupting Monaco's rhythm.
- Monaco seeks to consolidate their favorite status early in the campaign, while Bologna is highly motivated to defend their home turf and get early Euroleague wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +150, away: -180 | AS Monaco | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | home: -112, away: -108 | Virtus Segafredo Bologna +4.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Under 166 points | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 166 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 166 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on AS Monaco moneyline to win, covering the spread (-4.5) seems risky given Bologna's home resilience, and the total points are likely to stay under 166 due to strong defensive setups on both sides.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 81 – 77 Virtus Segafredo Bologna