Match Analysis: Villanova Wildcats vs Duquesne Dukes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: The William B. Finneran Pavilion, Bryn Mawr
Game Overview
Villanova Wildcats, a strong favorite, face the undefeated Duquesne Dukes in a matchup where Villanova is expected to control the game offensively and defensively. Both teams have shown potent offenses recently, but Villanovaβs deeper roster and better defensive metrics position them as likely winners.
Key Factors to Consider
- Villanova is 2-1 with recent strong offensive efficiency (46th nationally), shooting over 50% in last two games, while Duquesne is 3-0, averaging 87.3 points per game, but ranked 109th overall in KenPom ratings.
- Historically, Villanova dominates this contest. Betting lines imply a strong Villanova winning probability (~87%). Previous meetings and implied scores favor Wildcats by around 10 points.
- No significant injuries reported on either side that would alter main rotations significantly.
- Home advantage for Villanova playing at The William B. Finneran Pavilion; no noted external disruptions. Public betting heavily favors Villanova moneyline and spread.
- Villanova looks to rebound from a recent close loss and solidify dominance in the Big East season opener; Duquesne aims to maintain undefeated record but may lack depth to keep pace against Villanovaβs pressure.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -720 | Villanova Wildcats | β β β β β 87% |
| Spread | -110 | Villanova Wildcats -10.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | -110 | Over 149.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Villanova Wildcats -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Villanova Wildcats to win moneyline, cover the -10.5 point spread, and the game to go over 149.5 total points
Predicted Score: Villanova Wildcats 85 – Duquesne Dukes 73