Match Analysis: Valparaiso Beacons vs Bryant Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN
Game Overview
Bryant Bulldogs (1-2) travel to face Valparaiso Beacons (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. Valparaiso is undefeated at home and comes off a strong 20-point performance from Allen, while Bryant enters as an underdog struggling against better competition this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Valparaiso is 2-1 with a perfect 2-0 home record and coming off their best performance. Bryant is 1-2 and has been outgunned against quality opponents. Bryant shoots 27% from three and 74% from the field overall, while Valparaiso shoots 34% from the field and 65% from free throw. In day games against non-AP-ranked opponents: Valparaiso has lost each of its last seven, while Bryant has won each of its last ten.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with limited historical context.
- No injury information available in provided search results.
- This is a day game (1 PM ET start) against a non-ranked opponent, which heavily favors Bryant based on recent trends. Valparaiso's last five games against non-ranked opponents have produced 135 or fewer total points, suggesting limited offensive firepower. Seven of Bryant's last eight day games produced 147+ points.
- Valparaiso seeks to maintain home undefeated status. Bryant looks to prove itself is capable against inferior competition and break a streak of underdog failures (8-21-1 ATS in last 30 games as underdog, 0-6 in last six games as underdog).
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bryant +172 | Valparaiso -210 | Bryant Bulldogs | β β β ββ 52% |
| Spread | Bryant +4.5 -110 | Valparaiso -4.5 -110 | Bryant +4.5 | β β β ββ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 -110 | Over 147.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bryant Bulldogs 44% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Bryant Bulldogs at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LEAN BRYANT ML – Despite concerning underdog records, the day game context and Valparaiso's historically poor performance in day games against non-ranked opponents creates value. However, confidence is moderate due to Bryant's overall struggles this season.
Predicted Score: Bryant 75, Valparaiso 73