Match Analysis: Valencia Basket vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Roig Arena, Valencia
Game Overview
The Euroleague clash features Valencia Basket hosting Virtus Segafredo Bologna, two evenly matched teams with close recent results and history, meeting at Valencia’s home court.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams come into the game with strong recent form, each winning 4 of their last 7 games. Valencia Basket’s recent home performances are solid and they have scored an average of 85.3 points recently, slightly higher than Virtus Bologna's 81.8. Virtus Bologna won the last head-to-head 87-74 but Valencia holds a slight edge 4-3 overall in last seven meetings.
- Recent 7 H2H games are tightly contested: Valencia Basket leads 4-3. Last encounter was a Virtus win by 13 points (87-74). This rivalry suggests a competitive match with minor edge to Valencia at home.
- No significant injury reports available that severely impact starting lineups or key contributors for either team, suggesting both squads will field near full-strength rosters.
- The game is played at Valencia’s Roig Arena with a 15,600 capacity, providing home-court advantage. Scheduling and travel are standard with no unusual distractions reported.
- Both teams are early in the Euroleague season and highly motivated to secure a win to establish position. Valencia's motivation may be slightly higher playing at home and looking to avenge the previous loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Valencia +164, Virtus +221 | Valencia Basket | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | Valencia -3.5 at -110 | Valencia Basket -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 167 points at -110, Under 167 points at -110 | Under 167 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Valencia Basket to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Valencia Basket 83 – 77 Virtus Segafredo Bologna