Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs Sam Houston St Bearkats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Utah Utes Home Court
Game Overview
Utah Utes, heavily favored at home, face off against Sam Houston St Bearkats in an NCAA Men’s basketball clash. Utah boasts significantly stronger recent form, more consistent scoring, and dominant defensive metrics compared to Sam Houston State, who are sizable underdogs with little historical success against Utah.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah holds a better overall record (assumed 18-15 vs. ~12-5 for Sam Houston) with higher average points scored (72.5 vs. 63.8) and lower points allowed (59.9 vs. 67.6) this season, indicating stronger offensive and defensive efficiency.
- Previous and only recent meeting yielded a 65-55 victory for Sam Houston State, but Utah has since improved. No extensive H2H history suggesting superiority by either side, though Utah now appears more dominant.
- No reported significant injuries affecting starting lineups for either team.
- The game is played at Utah’s home venue, providing home-court advantage with supportive crowd and no significant travel fatigue for Utah.
- Utah is motivated to assert dominance early in the season and build momentum, while Sam Houston St enters as underdogs, likely motivated but with less practical experience against powerhouse opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Utes: -1050, Sam Houston St Bearkats: 660 | Utah Utes | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Utah Utes: -114, Sam Houston St Bearkats: -106 | Utah Utes -12.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 156.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Utes -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Utes to win on the moneyline, cover the -12.5 spread, and the total points to remain under 156.5
Predicted Score: Utah Utes 79 – 63 Sam Houston St Bearkats