Match Analysis: Utah Tech Trailblazers vs Portland St Vikings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 25, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Burns Arena, St. George, UT
Game Overview
Portland State Vikings travel to Utah Tech Trailblazers in a non-conference matchup. Portland State enters as road favorites despite their struggles away from home, while Utah Tech has maintained a perfect home record this season. This matchup presents a classic opportunity for the Trailblazers to exploit Portland State's road woes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland State holds a 3-2 record with a superior offensive and defensive profile, ranking in the top 50 nationally for shooting percentages. They maintain a +14 point differential. Utah Tech stands at 4-4 overall but remains undefeated at home. Utah Tech averages 79.8 PPG (174th nationally) with a 73.5 PPG defensive average (190th). Their shooting percentages lag significantly at 45.1% from the field (210th) and 27.9% from three-point range (330th).
- No direct head-to-head historical context is available in the search results.
- No injury information is provided in the available data.
- Home-court advantage heavily favors Utah Tech, who have won every home game this season. Venue and travel circumstances significantly impact Portland State, who have lost seven of their last eight road games and remain winless on the road this season.
- Utah Tech seeks to maintain their undefeated home record against a higher-ranked opponent. Portland State aims to break their road struggles and cover as 1.5-point favorites despite their poor away performance history.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland St Vikings: -118 | Utah Tech Trailblazers: -102 | Portland St Vikings | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Portland St Vikings: -1.5 -105 | Utah Tech Trailblazers: +1.5 -115 | Portland St Vikings -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -112 | Under: 147.5 -108 | Over 147.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland St Vikings -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland State possesses superior offensive and defensive metrics with better overall team efficiency, but Utah Tech's perfect home record and Portland State's severe road struggles create conflicting signals. The Vikings' balanced play and top-50 shooting efficiency suggest they should win, yet the overwhelming trend of home-court dominance and Portland State's 0-X road record indicates vulnerability. This is a classic 'matchup vs. momentum' scenario where Portland State's talent meets Utah Tech's environmental advantage.
Predicted Score: Portland State 82, Utah Tech 75