Match Analysis: Utah Tech Trailblazers vs Miss Valley St Delta Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Bankoh Arena at Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
Utah Tech Trailblazers (2-3) host Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-3) in a Rainbow Classic matchup. Utah Tech is favored by 27.5 points, reflecting a significant talent and performance gap. Mississippi Valley State arrives in Honolulu riding a devastating three-game losing streak with defensive collapse (averaging 100 points allowed in last 3 games), while Utah Tech seeks consistency after splitting recent contests.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mississippi Valley State: 1-3 record with only win against inferior competition (MUW 97-61). Recent losses include 106-55 @ UAB, 108-60 @ Murray State, and 88-56 @ Hawaii on Nov 13. Averaging 67.0 PPG while allowing 90.75 PPGβsignificant offensive and defensive deficiencies. Utah Tech: 2-3 record with 79.80 PPG average and more balanced 79.40 PPG allowed. Won 81-79 vs SDAK but lost 67-93 @ Arizona and 79-75 vs Manhattan. Shows volatility but stronger baseline talent.
- No direct history available between these programs.
- No injury data available in search results.
- Neutral venue (Honolulu) eliminates home court advantage but benefits stronger program. Early morning tipoff (2:30 AM UTC / 9:30 PM EST) may affect performance. Mississippi Valley State has lost each of its last 51 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Utah Tech has won first half in each of last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at neutral venues. Utah Tech has lost each of its last seven Friday games against non-conference opponentsβnotable concern for the Trailblazers.
- Utah Tech seeking to build consistency and erase .500 start. Mississippi Valley State desperate to snap losing streak but facing prohibitively difficult opponent. The magnitude of the point spread (27.5) suggests Utah Tech is heavily favored by sportsbooks despite their own recent struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | MVSU +3500 / UTU -5000 (implied) | Utah Tech Trailblazers | β β β β β 89% |
| Spread | MVSU +27.5 (-105) / UTU -27.5 (-115) | Utah Tech -27.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 146.5 (-112) / Under 146.5 (-108) | Under 146.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazers cover the 27.5-point spread in a dominant performance. The gap in team quality, combined with Mississippi Valley State's defensive deterioration and 0-51 record in day games vs non-ranked opponents, creates an overwhelming structural advantage for Utah Tech. Despite Utah Tech's concerning 0-7 Friday record, they are significantly more talented. Expect Utah Tech to win 82-56.
Predicted Score: Utah Tech 82, Mississippi Valley State 56 (Total: 138)