Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs UTEP Miners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, Utah
Game Overview
Utah State Aggies host UTEP Miners in an NCAA basketball game where Utah State is undefeated (3-0) and UTEP has a 2-1 record. Utah State is heavily favored with very low odds due to their dominant form and strong home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah State is 3-0, but recently 2-3 overall and 2-3 against the spread. UTEP is 2-1, scoring an average of 88 points but against lower-tier opponents, and struggling on the road.
- Recent matchups show Utah State winning convincingly. Simulations predict Utah State winning by a large margin (~93-64). Utah State's defense is stout, holding opponents under 70 points.
- No major injury reports for either team currently. Both teams appear at full strength.
- Utah State plays at home in Logan with strong fan support. UTEP is on the road for the first time this season, likely impacting performance.
- Utah State aims to maintain a perfect record and continue dominance; UTEP looks for an upset to build momentum on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -3500 | Utah State | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | -110 | Utah State -17.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 152.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah State Aggies -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah State moneyline win, Utah State to cover the -17.5 spread, and total points under 152.5
Predicted Score: Utah State 85 – UTEP 67