Match Analysis: UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Campbell Fighting Camels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dee Events Center, Ogden, UT
Game Overview
The UT Arlington Mavericks (4-1) host the Campbell Fighting Camels (2-3) in a tightly contested college basketball game. UT Arlington holds a slight edge as favorites in both moneyline and spread betting, reflecting their stronger recent form, including a three-game winning streak. The total points line is set relatively high at 154.5, but many analysts project a lower scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- UT Arlington boasts a 4-1 record with strong defensive stats (allowing 34.8% field goal percentage ranked 10th) and efficient shooting, led by R. Seamster averaging 17.8 points per game with high efficiency (62.3% FG). Campbell has a 2-3 record, with solid perimeter shooting by D. Smith averaging 22.4 points per game and 3.2 made threes per game, but their defense is less consistent, allowing roughly 45.7% FG.
- Data specific to direct recent matchups between UT Arlington and Campbell is limited; however, current season momentum favors UT Arlington with better overall and home records.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team at this time, so both teams are expected to have their key players available.
- The game is played at UT Arlingtonβs home venue, the Dee Events Center, giving the Mavericks a home-court advantage. Public betting heavily supports UT Arlington, with 100% of recorded bets on them as favorites.
- UT Arlington aims to extend their winning streak and establish dominance at home early in the season. Campbell seeks to improve their losing record and upset the home favorites, adding motivation to perform strongly on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Campbell Fighting Camels: +110, UT-Arlington Mavericks: -130 | UT-Arlington Mavericks | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Campbell Fighting Camels: +1.5 -108, UT-Arlington Mavericks: -1.5 -112 | UT-Arlington Mavericks -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -105, Under: 154.5 -115 | Under 154.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UT-Arlington Mavericks 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UT Arlington is favored to win a close, defensively contested game with a final score likely staying under 154.5 points. Despite Campbell's potent outside shooting, UT Arlingtonβs stronger defense and home advantage tilt the prediction in their favor.
Predicted Score: UT Arlington 78 – 72 Campbell