Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Manhattan Jaspers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Galen Center, Los Angeles, California
Game Overview
The USC Trojans (1-0) face the Manhattan Jaspers (1-0) in a college basketball NCAAB matchup. USC is a dominant favorite given their superior team statistics and home-court advantage, whereas Manhattan, despite an undefeated start, is expected to struggle against USCβs strong defense and offensive efficiency.
Key Factors to Consider
- USC has shown strong performance with a 94-64 win in their last game, averaging 76.7 points per game ranked 96th nationally, and a solid defense allowing 74.6 points (255th rank). Manhattan posted a commanding 125-59 victory, averaging 76.3 points per game but has weaker defensive metrics (allowing 75.1 points, ranked 275th). USC is more balanced offensively and defensively, holding better shooting percentages and assists per game.
- Recent matchups heavily favor USC with significant margins, reflective in the large spread and moneyline odds showing USC as overwhelming favorites. Historical data suggest USC consistently outperforms Manhattan by a large margin.
- No reported key injuries on either side affecting this matchup at present, allowing both teams to field their strongest available rosters.
- USC benefits from playing at home in the Galen Center, giving them crowd support and familiarity. Manhattan will face travel fatigue and an aggressive USC home atmosphere. No adverse weather or external scheduling conflicts reported.
- USC is motivated to assert dominance early in the season and maintain national ranking positioning. Manhattan aims to prove competitive but is realistically positioned as underdogs with less to lose.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manhattan Jaspers: 4000, USC Trojans: -30000 | USC Trojans win | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Manhattan Jaspers: 27.5 -106, USC Trojans: -27.5 -114 | USC Trojans to cover -27.5 points | β β β β β 95% |
| Over/under | Over: 161.5 -110, Under: 161.5 -110 | Under 161.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | USC Trojans -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 161.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
USC Trojans to win decisively, likely covering the large spread while the total points are predicted to remain under the line due to USCβs strong defense and a paced game approach.
Predicted Score: USC Trojans 88 – Manhattan Jaspers 58