Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Manhattan Jaspers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Galen Center, Los Angeles, CA
Game Overview
The USC Trojans host the Manhattan Jaspers in an early-season NCAA basketball game. Both teams are 1-0 coming into this matchup with similar scoring and defense statistics, but USC has a significant advantage in shooting efficiency and overall team quality.
Key Factors to Consider
- USC averages 76.7 points per game, ranking 96th nationally, with a strong field goal percentage of 48.5%, ranking 19th. Defensively, they allow 74.6 points (255th). Manhattan scores 76.3 points (108th) but shoots only 43.9% from the field (221st) and allows 75.1 points per game (275th). USC also leads in assists (15.5 to 14.7) but commits slightly more turnovers.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but USC has historically been the stronger program and is favored heavily in this matchup, indicating a likely dominant performance.
- No significant injuries reported for either side prior to the game, suggesting both teams will field their typical lineups.
- Game played at USC's home venue, the Galen Center, providing home-court advantage with crowd support and familiar conditions.
- USC, as a higher-profile program with stronger expectations, is likely motivated to establish dominance early in the season. Manhattan, a smaller program ranked lower in efficiency, may struggle to keep pace.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | USC Trojans: -30000, Manhattan Jaspers: 4000 | USC Trojans | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | USC Trojans -27.5 (-114), Manhattan Jaspers +27.5 (-106) | USC Trojans -27.5 | β β β β β 87% |
| Over/under | Over 161.5 (-110), Under 161.5 (-110) | Under 161.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | USC Trojans -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 161.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
USC Trojans will win decisively, covering the large spread while the total points are expected to be moderately high but likely under the 161.5 line due to USC's effective defense and Manhattan's lesser offensive efficiency.
Predicted Score: USC Trojans 90 – Manhattan Jaspers 60