Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 5:00 AM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA
Game Overview
The Maryland Terrapins (4-1) visit the UNLV Rebels (3-2) for a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Maryland is on a 3-game winning streak and comes in as a 3.5-point favorite. The game is projected to be high-scoring with an over/under at 161.5 points, reflecting both teams' offensive capabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maryland holds a stronger 4-1 record with a 3-game winning streak, showcasing consistency and effective offense. UNLV is at 3-2 with a modest 2-game winning streak. Maryland averages higher combined scoring efficiency and defensive stability compared to UNLV, which has seen all its games finish over 161.5 points, indicating a potent offense but less defensive containment.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup in the 2025 season, making historical performance less relevant. Both teams have played roughly similar quality non-conference opponents, with Maryland having a slight edge in outcomes so far.
- No significant injury reports or absences have been noted for either team leading into this game, implying both squads will likely field their optimal lineups.
- The venue is neutral at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, favoring UNLV geographically but home status is shared. The game will be televised nationally on TNT, which may slightly elevate team motivation and performance due to exposure.
- Maryland aims to assert dominance early in the season to bolster tournament positioning and extend their winning streak. UNLV looks to defend home locality strongly despite being listed as the home team here, building momentum before Mountain West play starts.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maryland Terrapins: -150, UNLV Rebels: +130 | Maryland Terrapins | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Maryland Terrapins -3.5: -110, UNLV Rebels +3.5: -110 | Maryland Terrapins -3.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 161.5: -110, Under 161.5: -110 | Over 161.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 161.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 161.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Maryland is favored to win by a narrow margin given their stronger record, current form, and betting odds. The game is expected to be close and high-scoring, with Maryland likely covering the -3.5 spread due to their more consistent defense and offense mix.
Predicted Score: Maryland Terrapins 83 – UNLV Rebels 78