Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 5:00 AM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas
Game Overview
This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the UNLV Rebels hosting the Alabama Crimson Tide at a neutral site in Las Vegas. Both teams are coming off strong performances, but Alabama enters as the clear favorite based on recent form, overall record, and betting market consensus. The game is expected to be competitive, with a high-scoring trend indicated by recent totals and team statistics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alabama has a 2-1 record, with wins over North Dakota and St. John's, and a narrow loss to Illinois. Their offense is potent, averaging over 90 points per game. UNLV is 2-2, with notable wins against Memphis and Chattanooga, but losses to Montana and UT Martin. UNLV's recent games have seen high totals, with 4 of their last 5 going over the projected points line.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams in the last several seasons. Both teams have played a mix of strong and weak opponents, but Alabama's overall strength and consistency give them an edge in direct comparison.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full rosters.
- The game is being played at a neutral site, which may slightly favor UNLV due to home-state support. However, Alabama's experience in high-pressure environments and their strong road record could mitigate this advantage.
- Alabama is motivated to maintain their strong start to the season and prove themselves against a tough UNLV team. UNLV is looking to bounce back from recent losses and make a statement against a ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alabama: 1.09, UNLV: 7.2 | Alabama to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Alabama -13.5 (-110), UNLV +13.5 (-110) | Alabama to cover the spread | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 181.5 (-110), Under 181.5 (-110) | Over 181.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 181.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 181.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alabama is favored to win this matchup, with a high probability of covering the spread. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams likely to exceed the over/under line.
Predicted Score: Alabama 92, UNLV 85