Match Analysis: UNC Wilmington Seahawks vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Raiford G. Trask Coliseum, Wilmington, NC
Game Overview
UNC Wilmington Seahawks host South Carolina Upstate Spartans in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. UNC Wilmington enters with a 1-1 record and strong recent form, while USC Upstate is 3-1 but faces a significant challenge on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNC Wilmington is averaging 91.5 points per game and allowing 81.5 points, with a 7-2 record in their last 9 games. USC Upstate averages 75.7 points and allows 84 points, splitting their last 8 games. UNC Wilmington has superior offensive firepower and recent momentum.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but UNC Wilmington has dominated recent home games against non-AP-ranked opponents, with 10 of their last 11 night games at Trask Coliseum producing 152 or fewer points.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is at UNC Wilmington's home court, which has historically seen lower-scoring games in similar matchups. Weather and travel are not significant factors.
- UNC Wilmington is highly motivated to build on their recent success and protect their home court. USC Upstate is looking to prove themselves against a strong opponent but may be overmatched.
- UNC Wilmington is favored to win decisively, with a strong likelihood of covering the spread and the game staying under the total points line.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Carolina Upstate Spartans: 760, UNC Wilmington Seahawks: -1300 | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | South Carolina Upstate Spartans: 13.5 -110, UNC Wilmington Seahawks: -13.5 -110 | UNC Wilmington Seahawks -13.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 159.5 -110, under: 159.5 -110 | under | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Wilmington Seahawks -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 159.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 159.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
No prediction available.
Predicted Score: UNC Wilmington 82, South Carolina Upstate 70