Match Analysis: UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Elon Phoenix – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: First Horizon Coliseum, Greensboro
Game Overview
UNC Greensboro Spartans host Elon Phoenix in an early season NCAAB matchup, with UNC Greensboro favored as a home underdog bounce-back candidate and Elon entering on a strong recent form after a dominant season opener.
Key Factors to Consider
- Elon Phoenix are 1-0, coming off a convincing 99-51 win, showing strong offensive efficiency. UNC Greensboro Spartans are 0-1, recently losing 93-64 on the road and struggling offensively.
- Historically, UNC Greensboro leads with 5 wins in the last 6 meetings, though Elon won the most recent matchup 73-69, indicating some competitive balance.
- No major injuries reported for either team, both squads appear near full strength.
- UNC Greensboro benefits from home-court advantage at First Horizon Coliseum. Elon travels but comes in with momentum from a big recent win.
- UNC Greensboro motivated to improve after an opening loss at a tough venue and under public watch; Elon looking to build on early season confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -162, away: +136 | UNC Greensboro Spartans | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -105, away: -115 | UNC Greensboro Spartans -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Over 142.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Greensboro Spartans 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 142.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 142.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take UNC Greensboro Spartans to cover the spread (-3.5) and win moneyline, expecting a moderately high scoring game over 142.5 points.
Predicted Score: UNC Greensboro 75 – Elon 69